
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Jumps to 2007 High; Hires Rate Firms a Bit
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the job openings rate jumped to 3.3% during June from an unrevised 3.2% in May. The latest level was the highest since June 2007. The job [...]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the job openings rate jumped to 3.3% during June from an unrevised 3.2% in May. The latest level was the highest since June 2007. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on the last business day of the month as a percent of total employment plus job openings. The actual number of job openings rose 17.6% y/y to 4.671 million.
The private-sector job openings rate gained to 3.5% from a downwardly revised 3.4%. It was the highest level since June 2007 and up from the recession low of 1.7%. The rate in professional & business services surged to a ten-year high of 4.7%. Amongst leisure & hospitality firms, the rate slipped a still-strong 4.5%. In the health care & social assistance sector, the job openings rate slipped to 3.8%, but remained well above the 2.9% averages in 2009-2010. The rate in manufacturing held at a firm 2.4% while in construction it improved to 2.1%. The job openings rate in the government sector improved to 2.1%, its highest level since 2010.
The hires rate ticked higher to 3.5%, its recovery high. The hires rate is the number of hires during the month divided by employment. The private sector hires rate increased to 3.9%, a seven-year high. Amongst leisure & hospitality firms it held at 5.9%. In professional & business services, it improved to 5.4% and the hires rate in retail trade gained to 5.0%. The construction hires rate fell to 4.4% and remained below the 6.9% pace in early-2011. In education & health services, the hires rate edged higher to 2.5%. In the factory sector, the hires rate gained to 2.1% but remained below the 2.5% high late in 2010. The government sector hires rate held at a low 1.3%.
The number of hires recovered 1.9% m/m and jumped 9.3% y/y. Private sector hires gained 10.0% y/y as new retail trade jobs surged by roughly one-quarter y/y. Jobs in education & health services rose 14.0% y/y and hiring in professional & business services increased 8.6% y/y. Leisure & hospitality employment rose 8.1% y/y and factory sector hires improved 10.7% y/y. New hires in construction were off 19.0% y/y and government sector hiring slipped 0.7% y/y.
The job separations rate held at 3.3% and the actual number of separations increased 7.3% y/y. Separations include quits, layoffs, discharges, and other separations as well as retirements. The private sector separations rate held at 3.6%, about where it's been since December, and the government sector's rate remained at 1.3%. The layoff & discharge rate remained at 1.2% for the seventh month. The private sector layoff rate fell m/m to 1.3% and the government's rate remained at 0.4%.
The JOLTS survey dates to December 2000 and the figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey, SA) | Jun | May | Apr | Jun'13 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Job Openings, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
Total (000s) | 4,671 | 4,577 | 4,464 | 3,971 | 3,914 | 3,646 | 3,538 |
Hires, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 39.6 | 38.8 | 38.1 |
Total (000s) | 4,830 | 4,738 | 4,770 | 4,418 | 54,139 | 52,391 | 50,264 |
Layoffs & Discharges, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 14.6 | 15.5 | 15.7 |
Total (000s) | 1,622 | 1,656 | 1,701 | 1,662 | 20,006 | 20,979 | 20,735 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.