Global| Jul 16 2014U.S. Industrial Production Gain Slackens
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
Industrial output in the U.S. increased 0.2% during June following a 0.5% May rise, revised from 0.6%. A 0.3% gain in total production was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Production in the factory sector rose 0.6% [...]
Industrial output in the U.S. increased 0.2% during June following a
0.5% May rise, revised from 0.6%. A 0.3% gain in total production was
expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Production in the factory
sector rose 0.6% (3.5% y/y) after a 0.1% May slip, last month reported as 0.6%.
Utility output fell 0.3% (+1.8% y/y) following a 0.4% decline.
Construction supplies production led last month's increase with a 0.5% gain (4.6% y/y) following a 1.3% rise. Business equipment production ticked 0.1% higher (4.7% y/y) after a 0.7% improvement while consumer goods output was unchanged (3.0% y/y) following two months of decline. Motor vehicles & parts production edged 0.3% lower (+6.8% y/y) following a 1.9% increase. Appliances, furniture & carpeting production gained 0.5% (7.8% y/y) following strong increases in the prior three months. Computers & electronics edged 0.1% higher (4.4% y/y). Amongst soft-goods industries, clothing production declined 1.3% (+0.9% y/y), off for the third straight month, and paper output gained 0.4% (-2.8% y/y).
Within the special aggregate series, high technology industries posted a 0.3% production gain (6.4% y/y), paced by a 0.4% rise (-0.1% y/y) in computer output. Factory production excluding the high-tech sector rose 0.1% (3.3% y/y). Manufacturing production excluding both high-tech and autos gained 0.2% (3.1% y/y).
The capacity utilization rate remained at 79.1% last month, about where it's been for four straight months. That remained below the 80.5% high averaged in 2007. In the factory sector, the capacity utilization rate slipped to 77.1% and remained below the 78.6% level before the recession. Total industry capacity rose an improving 2.7% y/y while factory sector capacity increased 2.1%.
Industrial production and capacity data are included in Haver's USECON database, with additional detail in the IP database. The expectations figure is in the AS1REPNA database.
| Industrial Production (SA, % Change) | Jun | May | Apr | Jun Y/Y | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Output | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| Manufacturing | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Consumer Goods | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Business Equipment | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 7.5 | 5.6 |
| Construction Supplies | 0.5 | 1.3 | -0.8 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 3.0 |
| Materials | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Utilities | -0.3 | -0.4 | -5.2 | 1.8 | 2.1 | -2.1 | -0.2 |
| Capacity Utilization (%) | 79.1 | 79.1 | 79.0 | 77.8 | 77.9 | 77.3 | 76.3 |
| Manufacturing | 77.1 | 77.2 | 77.0 | 76.1 | 76.1 | 75.5 | 73.9 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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