
U.S. Import and Export Prices Continue Lower
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
Import prices fell 0.2% last month (+0.2% y/y) following a revised 0.7% May decline, initially reported as -0.6%. No change in prices had been expected in the Action Economics survey. In a switch from prior months, lower prices for [...]
Import prices fell 0.2% last month (+0.2% y/y) following a revised 0.7% May decline, initially reported as -0.6%. No change in prices had been expected in the Action Economics survey. In a switch from prior months, lower prices for nonpetroleum products were the catalyst for the decline. Conversely, petroleum prices ticked 0.2% higher (2.9% y/y) as crude oil prices jumped.
Nonpetroleum import prices declined another 0.3% (-0.5% y/y). The shortfall was led by a 1.2% drop (0.0% y/y) in food, feeds & beverage prices. Nonoil industrial supplies & material costs fell 1.0% (-1.0% y/y) pulled lower by a decline in building material costs. Motor vehicle & parts prices were off 0.3% (-0.4% y/y). Capital goods prices outside of the high-tech area slipped 0.2% (-0.6% y/y) but computers, peripheral & semiconductor costs were unchanged (-0.9% y/y). Prices for nonauto consumer goods slipped 0.1% and were stable y/y.
U.S. export prices continued weak and slipped an expected 0.1% (+0.8% y/y), the fourth consecutive monthly shortfall. A decline in nonagricultural prices led the way lower with a 0.2% decline (-0.3% y/y), also down for the fourth straight month. Industrial supplies and material prices fell 0.4% (-0.5% y/y) while nonauto consumer goods prices slipped 0.1% (-1.5% y/y). That followed eight consecutive months of decline. Capital goods prices were unchanged (0.6% y/y) while motor vehicle & parts prices also were unchanged (0.4% y/y). Agricultural export prices continued quite firm and posted a 0.6% increase (9.3% y/y).
The import and export price series can be found in Haver's USECON database. Detailed figures are available in the USINT database. The expectations figure is in the AS1REPNA database.
A Century of U.S. Central Banking: Goals, Frameworks, Accountability is the title of yesterday's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and it can be found here.
Import/Export Prices (NSA, %) | Jun | May | Apr | Jun Y/Y | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Imports - All Commodities | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 |
Petroleum | 0.2 | -2.0 | -2.9 | 2.9 | -0.3 | 36.5 | 28.4 |
Nonpetroleum | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0.3 | 4.5 | 2.8 |
Exports - All Commodities | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 8.1 | 4.9 |
Agricultural | 0.6 | 1.1 | -2.3 | 9.3 | 2.4 | 22.3 | 7.9 |
Nonagricultural | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 6.6 | 4.6 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.