Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Dec 23 2008

U.S. Gasoline Prices Down Again

Summary

Regular gasoline prices were roughly unchanged last week at $1.65 per gallon, according to the U.S. Department of Energy survey. Yesterday, the spot market price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell sharply to $0.88 per gallon. [...]


Regular gasoline prices were roughly unchanged last week at $1.65 per gallon, according to the U.S. Department of Energy survey. Yesterday, the spot market price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell sharply to $0.88 per gallon.

Weekly gasoline prices can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. Daily prices are in the DAILY database.

Though gasoline prices are down, that has done little to drive up product demand. The U.S. Department of Energy reported that the demand for gasoline fell by 3.5% y/y, nearly the fastest rate of decline since late-1995 (the latest four weeks versus the same four weeks last year). The demand for all petroleum products also fell 4.9% y/y.

These DOE figures are available in Haver's OILWKLY database.

The price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell last week by five dollars from the prior week's average to $39.65 per barrel, down by two-thirds since the peak in July of $145.66. In futures trading yesterday, the one-month price for crude oil was $39.91.

Last week, prices for natural gas were unchanged w/w at $5.67 per mmbtu (-20.7% y/y). The latest average price was 50% below natural gas prices in early-July of $13.19/mmbtu.

The Yield Curve from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is available here.

Weekly Prices 12/22/08 12/15/08 Y/Y 2007 2006 2005
Retail Regular Gasoline ($ per Gallon) 1.65 1.66 -44.5% 2.80 2.57 2.27
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI  ($ per bbl.) 39.65 44.71 -56.6% 72.25 66.12 56.60
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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