Global| May 26 2020U.S. FHFA House Price Inflation Slows
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
• Weakening is broad-based around the country. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index edged 0.1% higher during March following a 0.8% February gain, revised from 0.7%. The y/y gain nevertheless remained steady at 5.9%. [...]
• Weakening is broad-based around the country.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index edged 0.1% higher during March following a 0.8% February gain, revised from 0.7%. The y/y gain nevertheless remained steady at 5.9%. Over the past three months, the increase in prices fell to 6.2% from 9.2% in February.
Monthly price increases were strongest in New England (6.8% y/y) and the Mountain (8.5% y/y) regions of the country.
Price gains slowed in the West South Central (4.2% y/y), the East South Central (6.6% y/y), the South Atlantic (6.2% y/y) and the Pacific (6.1% y/y) states.
Prices either held steady or declined in the East North Central (5.5% y/y), the West North Central (4.5% y/y) and the Middle Atlantic (5.4% y/y) regions of the country.
The FHFA house price index is a weighted purchase-only index that measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. An associated quarterly index includes refinancings on the same kinds of properties. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.
| FHFA U.S. House Price Index, Purchase Only (SA %) |
Mar | Feb | Jan | Mar Y/Y | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 6.4 |
| New England | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| Middle Atlantic | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| East North Central | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 5.9 |
| West North Central | -0.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 5.2 |
| South Atlantic | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 6.6 |
| East South Central | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 5.6 |
| West South Central | 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 6.2 |
| Mountain | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 8.5 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 8.4 |
| Pacific | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 7.5 | 8.5 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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