Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Nov 24 2020

U.S. FHFA House Price Index Posts Another Record Increase

Summary

• Home price gain sets record for second straight month. • Prices strengthen across the country. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index jumped 1.7% during September following an unrevised 1.5% August increase. The [...]


• Home price gain sets record for second straight month.

• Prices strengthen across the country.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index jumped 1.7% during September following an unrevised 1.5% August increase. The September gain was the largest monthly increase in the series' history, which dates back to January 1991. Over the past year, house prices have increased 9.1%, the fastest pace since February 2006. In the last three months, prices have risen at a 19.3% annual rate. up from 5.7% twelve months ago.

Home prices were strong across the country. Monthly price gains were strongest in Middle Atlantic (9.6% y/y), New England (10.1% y/y) and Mountain (11.2% y/y) sections.

Prices rose 1.8% in the West North Central (8.6% y/y), East South Central (9.3% y/y) and Pacific (9.7% y/y) regions.

Lesser monthly gains were logged in the South Atlantic (8.8% y/y), East North Central (8.7% y/y) and West South Central (7.7% y/y) regions of the country.

The FHFA house price index is a weighted purchase-only index that measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. An associated quarterly index includes refinancings on the same kinds of properties. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.

FHFA U.S. House Price Index,
Purchase Only (SA %)
Sep Aug Jul Sep Y/Y 2019 2018 2017
Total 1.7 1.5 1.2 9.1 5.3 6.5 6.3
  New England 2.2 1.7 1.9 10.1 4.6 5.1 5.6
  Middle Atlantic 2.4 1.8 1.5 9.6 4.5 5.3 4.7
  East North Central 1.5 1.2 1.5 8.7 5.4 6.4 5.8
  West North Central 1.8 1.5 0.8 8.6 5.1 6.0 5.1
  South Atlantic 1.6 1.5 1.0 8.8 5.7 7.0 6.5
  East South Central 1.8 1.2 1.1 9.3 5.9 6.0 5.5
  West South Central 1.0 1.7 0.8 7.7 4.7 5.2 6.0
  Mountain 2.0 1.7 1.4 11.2 7.1 9.0 8.3
  Pacific 1.8 1.6 1.3 9.7 4.7 7.3 8.4
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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