Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Sep 26 2005

U.S. Existing Home Sales Still Near Record in August

Summary

The National Association of Realtors reported that with a 2.0% m/m rise in August to 7.29 million, total existing home sales recovered nearly all of the prior month's downwardly revised 2.7% decline. Consensus expectations had been [...]


The National Association of Realtors reported that with a 2.0% m/m rise in August to 7.29 million, total existing home sales recovered nearly all of the prior month's downwardly revised 2.7% decline. Consensus expectations had been for 7.12M sales. Single-family sales rose a similar 1.9% to 6.35 million while condo & co-op sales increased 2.2% to 940,000 (14.6% y/y). The data cover sales closed in the latest and previous months, and contrast to the new home sales data which count sales at the signing of a contract. The median price of an existing single-family home increased 1.7% to $219,400 (16.2% y/y) following a downwardly revised 0.5% dip in July.Prices are not seasonally adjusted. Prices tend to soften following the peak Spring-Summer selling season. By region, single family home sales rose everywhere except in the South where they were unchanged (7.3% y/y) for the second consecutive month.Out West single family sales rose 7.7% y/y, in the Midwest sales rose 5.8% y/y and in the Northeast sales rose 4.9% y/y. Housing Markets and Demographics from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco is available here.

The latest release from the National Association of Realtors is available here.

Existing Home Sales (000, AR) Aug July Y/Y 2004 2003 2002
Total Home Sales 7,290 7,150 7.8% 6,723 6,170 5,653
  Single Family Home Sales 6,350 6,230 6.9% 5,913 5,441 4,995
Single Family Median Home Price ($,000) $219.4 $215.7 16.2% $182.8 $169.1 $157.6
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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