Global| Nov 19 2020U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Strengthen During October
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
• Existing home sales reach highest level since February 2006. • Sales' strength is broad-based across regions. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of existing homes increased 4.3% (26.6% y/y) in October to [...]
• Existing home sales reach highest level since February 2006.
• Sales' strength is broad-based across regions.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of existing homes increased 4.3% (26.6% y/y) in October to 6.850 million from 6.570 million in September, revised from 6.540 million. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected October sales of 6.45 million. Data are compiled when existing home sales close.
Sales in all four regions of the country improved last month. In the Northeast, sales increased 4.7% (30.4% y/y) to 900,000 after double-digit increases in each of the prior three months. Sales in the Midwest rose 8.6% (28.1% y/y) to a record 1.640 million units. In the West, sales improved 1.4% (22.8% y/y) to 1.400 million after a 10.4% rise. Sales in the South improved 3.2% (26.5% y/y) during October to a record 2.910 million units following a 9.3% September increase.
The number of homes on the market declined 19.8% y/y. The months' supply of homes on the market fell to 2.5, a record low.
Strong demand coupled with tight supply raised the median price of an existing home 0.5% (15.5% y/y) to a record $313,000. The mean sales price improved 0.6% last month (12.3% y/y) to $345,100. The median home price in the Northeast improved 0.5% (20.2% y/y) to $356,500. In the Midwest, prices gained 0.2% (16.7% y/y) to $243,500. The median home price in the South rose 1.8% (15.7% y/y) to $272,500 while prices in the West edged 0.1% higher (15.1% y/y) to $467,800. The price data are not seasonally adjusted.
Sales of existing single-family homes improved 4.1% (26.7% y/y) to 6.120 million units, the fifth consecutive month of increase. Sales of condos and co-ops rose 5.8% (25.9% y/y) to 730,000 units. It was also the fifth straight month of strong increase and left sales at the highest level since December 2006.
The data on existing home sales, prices and affordability are compiled by the National Association of Realtors. The data trace back to February 1968. Total sales and price data and regional sales can be found in Haver's USECON database. Regional price and affordability data and national inventory data are available in the REALTOR database. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, reported in the AS1REPNA database.
| Existing Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Oct | Sep | Aug | Oct Y/Y % | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Sales | 6,850 | 6,570 | 5,980 | 26.6 | 5,330 | 5,334 | 5,527 |
| Northeast | 900 | 860 | 740 | 30.4 | 687 | 687 | 736 |
| Midwest | 1,640 | 1,510 | 1,410 | 28.1 | 1,248 | 1,264 | 1,302 |
| South | 2,910 | 2,820 | 2,580 | 26.5 | 2,281 | 2,245 | 2,268 |
| West | 1,400 | 1,380 | 1,250 | 22.8 | 1,115 | 1,138 | 1,222 |
| Single-Family Sales | 6,120 | 5,880 | 5,350 | 26.7 | 4,754 | 4,737 | 4,904 |
| Median Price Total ($, NSA) | 313,000 | 311,400 | 310,400 | 15.5 | 269,783 | 257,267 | 245,950 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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