Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Nov 28 2006

U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Inch Up

Summary

Total October existing home sales inched up 0.5% to 6.24M from a slightly higher revised September level, according to the National Association of Realtors. The m/m increase was the first since February and was firmer than Consensus [...]


Total October existing home sales inched up 0.5% to 6.24M from a slightly higher revised September level, according to the National Association of Realtors. The m/m increase was the first since February and was firmer than Consensus expectations for a decline to 6.15M sales. The data cover sales closed in the latest and previous months, and contrast to the new home sales data which tally sales at the signing of a contract. Sales of single-family homes reversed nearly all of the prior month's decline with a 1.3% increase to 5.50M but remained down 13.1% from the peak in June of 2005. The median price of an existing single-family home edged up 0.1% (-3.4% y/y) to 221,300 after two months of hefty decline. The price figures are not seasonally adjusted. Most of last month's rise in single family home sales was due to a 7.1% (-18.8% y/y) recovery in sales in the West. Sales also ticked up 0.8% (-10.7% y/y) in the Midwest. In the Northeast sales slid another 1.3% (-7.5% y/y) and down South sales slipped 0.9% 9-7.6% y/y). The inventory of unsold existing single family homes increased 1.9% (32.7% y/y) after two months of decline and rose to 7.2 months' supply on the market. The latest release from the National Association of Realtors is available here.

The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy from Charles I. Plosser President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia can be found here.

Existing Home Sales (000, AR) October September Y/Y 2005 2004 2003
Total Home Sales  6,240 6,210 -11.5% 7,064 6,722 6,176
  Single Family Home Sales 5,500 5,430 -11.0% 6,170 5,912 5,443
Single Family Median Home Price (000) $221.3 $221.1 -3.4% $217.5 $192.8 $178.3
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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