Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Oct 25 2006

U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Down

Summary

Total existing home sales in September fell 1.9% to 6.18M from an unrevised August level, according to the National Association of Realtors. The decline was the sixth in a row and the latest level fell short of Consensus expectations [...]


Total existing home sales in September fell 1.9% to 6.18M from an unrevised August level, according to the National Association of Realtors. The decline was the sixth in a row and the latest level fell short of Consensus expectations for 6.21M sales. The data cover sales closed in the latest and previous months, and contrast to the new home sales data which tally sales at the signing of a contract. Sales of single-family homes fell 1.6% m/m in September to 5.42M and are down 14.4% from the peak in June of 2005. Lower prices accompanied the decline in sales as the median price of an existing single-family home fell 1.9% after a deepened 3.0% August drop. The price figures are not seasonally adjusted. Single family home sales fell hard last month in the Northeast (-11.8% y/y) and sales in the West fell as well (-24.7% y/y). A 3.2% decline in sales in the Midwest (-14.1% y/y) was offset by a slight 0.9% (-7.9% y/y) gain down South. The inventory of unsold existing homes fell for the second month (+35.1% y/y). The supply of unsold single family homes fell 2.6% (+33.9% y/y) and the supply of condos & coops for sale slipped 1.4% m/m (+42.9% y/y). The latest release from the National Association of Realtors is available here.

A Supervisor's Perspective on Mortgage Markets and Mortgage Lending Practices, remarks by Fed Governor Susan Schmidt Bies, are available here.

Existing Home Sales (000, AR) September August Y/Y 2005 2004 2003
Total Home Sales  6,180 6,300 -14.2% 7,064 6,722 6,176
  Single Family Home Sales 5,420 5,510 -13.8% 6,170 5,912 5,443
Single Family Median Home Price (000) $219.8 $224.0 -2.5% $217.5 $192.8 $178.3
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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