Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jun 22 2021

U.S. Existing Home Sales Ease in May but Prices Strengthen

Summary

• Existing home sales decline for fourth straight month. • Prices surge to another record high. • Inventory of unsold homes again rose seasonally, but remains low. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of [...]


• Existing home sales decline for fourth straight month.

• Prices surge to another record high.

• Inventory of unsold homes again rose seasonally, but remains low.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of existing homes eased 0.9% (+44.6% y/y) to 5.800 million (SAAR) during May after declining 2.7% to an unrevised 5.850 million in April and 6.010 million in March. Sales have fallen 13.8% since their peak last October. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected May sales of 5.730 million. Data are compiled when existing home sales close.

The median price of an existing home increased 2.8% (23.6% y/y) to a record $350,300. The median home price in the West rose 0.9% (24.3% y/y) to $505,600. In the Northeast, prices improved 0.8% (17.1% y/y) to $384,300. The median home price in the South rose 3.9% (22.6% y/y) to $299,400. In the Midwest, prices strengthened 3.5% (18.1% y/y) to $268,500. The average sales price of all existing homes rose 2.1% last month (17.0% y/y) to $371,900. The price data are not seasonally adjusted.

The number of existing homes on the market gained 7.0% (NSA) to 1.23 million last month. The number declined, however, 20.6% y/y and remained near the record low of 1.03 million units in January and February. (The figures date back to January 1999.) The months' supply of homes on the market rose slightly to 2.5 months but remained well below its recent high of 4.6 months in May of last year.

Sales declined across most of the country last month. Existing home sales in the West weakened 4.1% (+61.6% y/y) to 1.180 million, the fifth decline in six months. In the Northeast, sales fell 1.4% (+46.9% y/y) to 720,000 units. In the South, sales eased 0.4% (+47.2% y/y) to 2.590 million units, the fourth consecutive monthly decline. Working 1.6% higher (27.2% y/y) were sales in the Midwest to 1.310 million after rising 0.8% in April.

Sales of existing single-family homes fell 1.0% (+39.2% y/y) to 5.080 million units, down for the fifth straight month. Sales of condos and co-ops held steady at 720,000 units, but have doubled y/y.

The data on existing home sales, prices and affordability are compiled by the National Association of Realtors. The data trace back to February 1968. Total sales and price data and regional sales can be found in Haver's USECON database. Regional price and affordability data and national inventory data are available in the REALTOR database. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, reported in the AS1REPNA database.

The Federal Reserve's Response to the Coronavirus Pandemic from Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell can be found here.

Existing Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) May Apr Mar May Y/Y % 2020 2019 2018
Total Sales 5,800 5,850 6,010 44.6 5,658 5,327 5,334
   Northeast 720 730 760 46.9 705 684 686
   Midwest 1,310 1,290 1,280 27.2 1,339 1,246 1,262
   South 2,590 2,600 2,700 47.2 2,458 2,282 2,246
   West 1,180 1,230 1,270 61.6 1,156 1,115 1,141
 Single-Family Sales 5,080 5,130 5,300 39.2 5,076 4,749 4,736
Median Price Total ($, NSA) 350,300 340,600 326,300 23.6 295,217 269,783 257,267
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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