Global| Jul 27 2015Texas Factory Sector Activity Continues to Improve While Expectations Strengthen
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicated that Texas business conditions improved through this month. The overall business activity index rebounded to its highest level since January while production strengthened to the firmest [...]
The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicated that Texas business conditions improved through this month. The overall business activity index rebounded to its highest level since January while production strengthened to the firmest point since February. The growth rate of new orders also rebounded but employment eased. The company outlook measure improved to its most optimistic since December while the rate of price deflation eased during the last two months.
Expected business conditions improved dramatically during the last three months. Similarly, the company outlook measure improved to the highest level since September as expectations for shipments jumped. Expected orders growth also increased but not as dramatically. Future wages & benefits paid remained under pressure.
Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When all firms report that activity has increased, an index will register 100. An index will register -100 when all firms report a decrease. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase or decrease is equal. Items may not add up to 100% because of rounding. Data for the Texas Manufacturing Outlook can be found in Haver's SURVEYS database.
| Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (SA) | Jul | Jun | May | Jul '14 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current General Business Activity Index (% Balance) | -4.6 | -7.0 | -20.8 | 12.9 | 8.3 | 2.2 | -0.6 |
| Production | -1.9 | -6.5 | -13.5 | 19.8 | 14.6 | 9.8 | 8.7 |
| Growth Rate of Orders | -5.2 | -16.5 | -15.2 | 16.5 | 4.7 | 0.1 | -2.8 |
| Number of Employees | -3.3 | -1.2 | -8.2 | 12.1 | 11.5 | 5.6 | 11.8 |
| Prices Received for Finished Goods | -2.9 | -1.9 | -8.7 | 7.5 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Conditions in Six Months | 18.8 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 20.4 | 17.4 | 11.0 | 7.6 |
| Production | 37.4 | 35.2 | 38.6 | 40.1 | 42.7 | 37.1 | 32.4 |
| Growth Rate of New Orders | 29.7 | 21.1 | 27.3 | 31.7 | 31.5 | 25.0 | 19.5 |
| Wages & Benefits | 31.2 | 31.0 | 30.6 | 45.2 | 43.0 | 38.2 | 34.2 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
More Economy in Brief
