Global| May 25 2005Mortgage Applications Recover
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
Last week total mortgage applications recovered nearly half of the prior period's decline with a 4.3% gain that left applications so far in May 7.4% ahead of the April average, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The gain [...]
Last week total mortgage applications recovered nearly half of the prior period's decline with a 4.3% gain that left applications so far in May 7.4% ahead of the April average, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
The gain was led by a 6.4% rise in applications to refinance which are 11.3% higher than in April.
Applications to purchase a home rose 2.8% following the prior week's 10.8% slump, yet in May are 4.7% ahead of April. During the last ten years there has been a 50% correlation between the y/y change in purchase applications and the change in new plus existing single family home sales.
The effective interest rate on a conventional 30-year mortgage fell to 5.88%, the lowest level since mid February. The effective rate on a 15-year mortgage fell to 5.53%.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey accounts for more than 40% of all applications processed each week by mortgage lenders. Visit the Mortgage Bankers Association site here.
| MBA Mortgage Applications (3/16/90=100) | 05/20/05 | 05/13/05 | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Market Index | 729.6 | 699.2 | 15.4% | 735.1 | 1,067.9 | 799.7 |
| Purchase | 482.3 | 469.3 | 7.2% | 454.5 | 395.1 | 354.7 |
| Refinancing | 2,167.9 | 2,036.7 | 27.9% | 2,366.8 | 4,981.8 | 3,388.0 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
