Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Dec 09 2004

Households' Net Worth Improved Further

Summary

The net worth of the US household sector rose 10.2% last quarter versus 3Q03. The year to year rate of increase is slower than the 14.4% gain in 1Q04. The rise was driven by a 10.0% y/y rise in total asset values. Tangible asset [...]


The net worth of the US household sector rose 10.2% last quarter versus 3Q03. The year to year rate of increase is slower than the 14.4% gain in 1Q04.

The rise was driven by a 10.0% y/y rise in total asset values. Tangible asset values rose 13.1% y/y as the value of real estate holdings surged 15.4%. Financial asset values rose a lesser 8.2%, held back by higher interest rates which lowered the value of treasury issues by 19.1%. Money market share values also fell 11.6%. Higher prices in the stock market helped lift the value of mutual fund shares by 18.1% and the value of corporate equities held directly by 7.5%.

Foreign sector holdings of total US assets rose 20.7% y/y raising the foreign sector's ownership share of total US financial assets to an upwardly revised 12.7% versus 7.0% ten years ago.

Growth in total credit market debt outstanding was steady at 7.8%. The federal government and US households continued growing debt at or about a double digit rate and nonfinancial corporations' debt grew just 3.3%.

Total credit market debt owed by the household sector rose 9.8% y/y as home mortgage debt rose 11.5%. Consumer credit rose 4.3%.

Flow of Funds (Y/Y Chg.) % of Total 3Q04 2Q04 2003 2002 2001
Total Credit Market Debt Outstanding 7.8% 7.9% 8.6% 7.4% 7.2%
    Federal Government 12% 9.7% 10.6% 10.9% 7.6% -0.2%
    Households 28% 9.8% 9.7% 10.3% 9.6% 8.9%
    Nonfinancial Corporate Business 14% 3.3% 2.6% 3.5% 0.6% 5.0%
  Financial Sectors 32% 7.8% 8.7% 9.8% 9.0% 10.8%
Total Credit Market Assets 7.8% 7.9% 8.6% 7.4% 7.2%
  Household Sector 6% 8.2% 10.8% 14.1% -7.0% -4.2%
  Rest of World 13% 20.7% 18.5% 15.9% 16.4% 12.6%
  US Financial Sectors 77% 6.9% 6.8% 7.9% 7.6% 8.1%
Net Worth: Households & Nonprofit Organizations (Trillions) $46.7 $46.1 $44.7 $39.7 $41.3
  Tangible Assets $21.7 $20.8 $19.9 $18.2 $16.8
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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