Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Mar 04 2008

Euro Area Producer Prices Surge in January; Core Elevates Too


The Euro Area PPI rose by 0.8% in January. Excluding energy, prices rose by 0.6%. Headline inflation is accelerating. Ex-energy inflation is stubborn just above the 3% mark. Among the major three categories, inflation is subdued only for capital equipment, rising at a pace of 1.3% year-over-year. Consumer goods inflation is oscillating in the 4% to 5% range over the past year. Intermediate goods prices have been above the 2% mark in recent months. Across the largest EMU economies ex-energy inflation is tame only for Germany. For France and Italy ex-energy inflation is around 3%. In the UK ex-energy inflation is 3.9% and accelerating to over 5% over three months.

Euro Area and UK PPI Trends
  M/M SAAR
Euro Area 15 Jan-08 Dec-07 3-Mo 6-MO Yr/Yr Y/Y Yr Ago
Total PPI ex Construction 0.8% 0.1% 7.4% 6.0% 4.9% 3.1%
Excl Energy 0.6% 0.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 3.5%
Capital Goods 0.3% 0.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0%
Consumer Goods 0.5% 0.3% 4.8% 5.6% 4.2% 1.5%
Intermediate & Capital Goods 0.7% 0.0% 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 4.5%
Energy 1.4% 0.2% 21.9% 15.6% 10.6% 1.6%
MFG 0.5% 0.1% 5.2% 4.7% 5.1% 2.4%
Germany PPI 0.8% -0.1% 6.5% 4.6% 3.3% 3.2%
Ex Energy 0.4% 0.0% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9%
France PPI 0.5% 0.1% 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 1.8%
Ex Energy 0.4% 0.2% 2.9% 3.3% 3.0% 2.8%
Italy PPI 0.4% 0.1% 6.7% 5.9% 5.2% 4.0%
Ex Energy 0.5% 0.0% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 4.4%
UK PPI 1.3% 1.3% 24.8% 18.7% 7.9% -1.4%
Ex Energy 1.0% 0.3% 5.7% 4.6% 3.9% 3.2%
Euro Area 15 Harmonized PPI excluding Construction
The EA 15 countries are Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia and Spain.
  • Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media.   Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.

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