Global| Jun 02 2016Challenger Survey Indicates Job Market Strengthening
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during May fell sharply to 30,157 (-26.5% y/y) following April's increase to 64,141, revised down from 65,141. It was the lowest layoff level [...]
The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during May fell sharply to 30,157 (-26.5% y/y) following April's increase to 64,141, revised down from 65,141. It was the lowest layoff level since December. Layoffs declined in the aerospace/defense, automotive, chemical, commodities, computer, consumer products, energy, entertainment/leisure, financial, government/nonprofit, industrial goods, retail and telecommunication industries. Layoffs increased in the apparel, construction, education, electronics, food, health care, insurance, media, pharmaceutical, services and transportation industries. During the last ten years, there has been a 68% correlation between the level of job cut announcements and the m/m change in payroll employment.
Challenger also samples firms' hiring plans. Hiring strengthened 24,732, and nearly doubled y/y, after rising 11,557 in April. It rose in the chemical, computer, education, food, insurance, media, retail and telecommunications industries. Hiring fell in the aerospace/defense, automotive, construction, consumer products, electronics, energy, entertainment/leisure, financial, government/nonprofit, pharmaceutical industries.
The Challenger figures are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.
|
Challenger, Gray & Christmas |
May | Apr | Mar | May Y/Y % | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Announced Job Cuts |
30,157 | 64,141 | 48,207 | -26.5 | 598,510 | 483,171 | 509,051 |
|
Announced Hiring Plans |
24,732 | 11,557 | 10,997 | 96.3 | 690,751 | 821,506 | 764,206 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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