Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Nov 30 2011

Challenger Reports Few Job Cuts

Summary

The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during November remained low at 42,474, roughly the same as October's 42,759. The latest figure was the lowest since June. The low level of [...]


The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during November remained low at 42,474, roughly the same as October's 42,759. The latest figure was the lowest since June. The low level of announcements reflected no cuts in the automotive, chemical or apparel industries and fewer layoffs in the electronics, energy, entertainment/leisure, gov't/nonprofit, health care, insurance, industrial goods, pharmaceutical, retail, services, telecommunications and transportation industries. 

Increases were logged by the commodities, computer, education, financial, food and legal industries. During the last ten years there has been a 67% correlation between the three-month moving average of announced job cuts and the three-month change in payroll employment. Job cut announcements differ from layoffs. Many are achieved through attrition, early retirement or just never occur.

Challenger also samples firms' hiring plans which pulled back to 63,527 following the October surge. Hiring rose in the automotive, computer, financial and industrial goods industries. In many industries, however, there no plans to hire.

The Challenger figures are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.

Aggregate Demand and the Global Economic Recovery is yesterday's speech by Fed Vice Chairman Janet L. Yellen and it can be found here.

Challenger, Gray & Christmas Nov Oct Sep Y/Y% 2010 2009 2008
Announced Job Cuts 42,474 42,759 115,730 -12.8 529,973 1,288,030 1,223,993
Announced Hiring Plans 63,527 159,177 76,551 144.2 402,638 272,573 118,600
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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