Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 22 2005

  ECRI U.S. Leading Index Trending Higher

  The Weekly Leading Index of the US economy from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) resumed an up trend after stuttering around the new year. Flat in the latest week, the index in February is up 1.2% from January and the six [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 22 2005

  ECRI U.S. Leading Index Trending Higher

  The Weekly Leading Index of the US economy from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) resumed an up trend after stuttering around the new year. Flat in the latest week, the index in February is up 1.2% from January and the six [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 18 2005

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Slipped Further

  The preliminary February index of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan fell to 94.2 versus Consensus expectations for stability at 95.5. During the last ten years there has been a 74% correlation between the level of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 18 2005

  PPI As Expected, But Core Prices Surged

  The PPI for finished goods rose an expected 0.3% in January and reversed the revised 0.3% December decline. Excluding food & energy, however, prices rose 0.8% and were quite a bit stronger than Consensus expectations for a 0.2% rise. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 18 2005

  PPI As Expected, But Core Prices Surged

  The PPI for finished goods rose an expected 0.3% in January and reversed the revised 0.3% December decline. Excluding food & energy, however, prices rose 0.8% and were quite a bit stronger than Consensus expectations for a 0.2% rise. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2005

  Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Improved

  The Philadelphia Fed reported that its Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector improved in February to 23.9 from an unrevised 13.2 the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for a reading of 17.5. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2005

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Held the Low Ground

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance inched down another 2,000 to 302,000 last week, the lowest level since late 2000. The prior week's figure was revised up slightly and Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2005

  Import Prices Higher With Petroleum, Non Oil Prices Easier

  Import prices rose 0.9% last month due to a surprising 4.6% spurt in petroleum prices. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.6% rise. Nonpetroleum prices, however, rose an easier 0.2% following a downwardly revised gain of 0.4% in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2005

  Leading Indicators Backpedaled

  The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell 0.3% in January following two months of 0.3% gain, reported the Conference Board. The six-month growth rate for the leaders remained negative at -1.4%. Six month growth in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2005

  Leading Indicators Backpedaled

  The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell 0.3% in January following two months of 0.3% gain, reported the Conference Board. The six-month growth rate for the leaders remained negative at -1.4%. Six month growth in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2005

  Warm Weather Left Industrial Production Unchanged

  Industrial production was unchanged last month versus Consensus expectations for a 0.3% increase. The shortfall was entirely due to a 3.1% decline in utility output as well as a 0.3% drop in mining output. The factory sector again [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2005

  Mortgage Applications Dipped

  Mortgage applications dipped modestly last week following two weeks of gain according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Survey. The 0.5% w/w decline followed gains of 4.2% and 7.3% during the prior two weeks. The decline was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief