Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 16 2005

  NAHB Housing Market Index Fell Again

  The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index fell again in February to 68 versus 70 in January. Only the current sales of new single family homes component fell. The index components of prospective [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2005

  Housing Starts At A New High in January

  Housing starts unexpectedly rose 4.7% in January to a record high of 2.159M following an upwardly revised 14.4% jump in December.Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 1.93M starts. Single-family starts rose a moderate 2.7% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2005

  Housing Starts At A New High in January

  Housing starts unexpectedly rose 4.7% in January to a record high of 2.159M following an upwardly revised 14.4% jump in December.Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 1.93M starts. Single-family starts rose a moderate 2.7% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 15 2005

  Empire State Index Eased Again

  The Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries added another point in February to the seven point decline in January and fell to 19.19. The index has fallen twenty points from its level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 15 2005

  U.S. Inventory Accumulation Strong

  Total business inventories rose another 0.2% after the 1.1% surge in November. The full year increase of 7.8% was the strongest since 1988. Retail inventories rose 0.3% in December following a 1.1% increase the prior month. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 15 2005

  Chain Store Sales Up Further

  Chain store sales inched up another 0.1% last week following the 2.2% spike the prior week according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The rise lifted sales in early February 0.7% ahead of the January [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 14 2005

  OECD Leading Economic Index Up A Bit

  The Leading Index of the Big 7 OECD economies nudged 0.1% higher in December after a revised 0.3% gain in November. The gains were the first after eight months of sideways movement. Perhaps more important, however, was that the six [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 14 2005

  OECD Leading Economic Index Up A Bit

  The Leading Index of the Big 7 OECD economies nudged 0.1% higher in December after a revised 0.3% gain in November. The gains were the first after eight months of sideways movement. Perhaps more important, however, was that the six [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 11 2005

  U.S. Budget Improved: Tax Receipts Up But Defense Spending Down?

  The US government ran a budget surplus of $8.7B in January versus a small deficit a year earlier. Calendar quirks accounted for much of the y/y improvement, but for the first four months of FY05 the annualized deficit of $327.7B was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 11 2005

  U.S. Budget Improved: Tax Receipts Up But Defense Spending Down?

  The US government ran a budget surplus of $8.7B in January versus a small deficit a year earlier. Calendar quirks accounted for much of the y/y improvement, but for the first four months of FY05 the annualized deficit of $327.7B was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 10 2005

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Fell To Four Year Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell another 13,000 to 303,000 last week, the lowest level since late 2000. Consensus expectations had been for 325,000 claims. The four week moving average of initial claims fell to 315,500 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 10 2005

  U.S. Trade Deficit Improved in December, 2004 A Record

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit improved in December to $56.4B versus a lessened deficit of $59.3B in November. The record deficit of $617.7B in 2004 was nearly one quarter larger than in 2003. Consensus expectations had been for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief