The Small Business Optimism Index reported by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) fell another 2.6% in April and is off 7.3% from the peak last November. The decline occurred as the percentage of firms expecting the [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| May 11 2005Small Business Optimism Down Further
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 11 2005
U.S. Trade Deficit Posted Surprising Improvement
The U.S. foreign trade deficit improved unexpectedly in March to $55.0B from the little revised record of $60.6B in February. Consensus expectations had been for a $61.5B deficit. Total exports jumped 1.5% following two months of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 11 2005
U.S. Trade Deficit Posted Surprising Improvement
The U.S. foreign trade deficit improved unexpectedly in March to $55.0B from the little revised record of $60.6B in February. Consensus expectations had been for a $61.5B deficit. Total exports jumped 1.5% following two months of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 10 2005
Gasoline Prices Ease
In the US, the average price for unleaded regular gasoline eased to $2.19 per gallon last week, down for the fourth consecutive week and off 4.1% from the peak of $2.28. As of March, the price of gasoline had risen 83.3% versus the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 10 2005
Weekly Chain Store Sales Up Again
Chain store sales opened the month of May with a 0.7% rise which added to the 0.5% increase of the prior week, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The increase raised the level of sales 1.4% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 10 2005
Weekly Chain Store Sales Up Again
Chain store sales opened the month of May with a 0.7% rise which added to the 0.5% increase of the prior week, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The increase raised the level of sales 1.4% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 09 2005
ECRI Leaders' Forward Momentum Down
The Weekly Leading Index of the US economy from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) fell 0.2% in the latest period and it was the fifth decline since mid-March. The six month growth rate of 3.0% continued to signal economic [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 09 2005
ECRI Leaders' Forward Momentum Down
The Weekly Leading Index of the US economy from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) fell 0.2% in the latest period and it was the fifth decline since mid-March. The six month growth rate of 3.0% continued to signal economic [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 06 2005
U.S. Payrolls Firm
April non-farm payrolls rose 274,000 following an upwardly revised 146,000 increase a month earlier. Consensus expectations had been for a 175,000 rise. The latest increase pulled the average three month change in payrolls (240,000) [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 06 2005
U.S. Payrolls Firm
April non-farm payrolls rose 274,000 following an upwardly revised 146,000 increase a month earlier. Consensus expectations had been for a 175,000 rise. The latest increase pulled the average three month change in payrolls (240,000) [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 05 2005
Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Higher Again
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose further last week. The 11,000 increase to 333,000 followed an upwardly revised gain of 23,000 the week prior. Consensus expectations had been for 325,000 claims. During the last ten years [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 05 2005
U.S. Productivity Slightly Higher Than Expected
In 1Q05, non-farm labor productivity rose 2.6% versus Consensus expectations for a 1.9% gain. The gain was the quickest in three quarters yet growth year to year slowed to 2.5% from its peak of 5.5% early last year. The surprise [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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