The number of mass layoff events last month ticked up 0.8% after sharp declines during the prior two months. During all of 1Q, the number of events fell 9.9% from 4Q 2005. During the last ten years there has been a (negative) 87% [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Apr 21 2006Mass Layoffs Remained Low in March
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 21 2006Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index Recovered
The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago indicated that the National Activity Index (CFNAI) recovered during March to 0.37 from 0.19 in February. The three-month moving average of the CFNAI, however, fell slightly to 0.29 from 0.34. A zero [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 21 2006Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Index Up Slightly
The Philadelphia Fed Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector during April rose slightly to 13.2 from an unrevised 12.3 last month. The 0.9 point m/m increase fell somewhat short of Consensus expectations for a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 21 2006Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Index Up Slightly
The Philadelphia Fed Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector during April rose slightly to 13.2 from an unrevised 12.3 last month. The 0.9 point m/m increase fell somewhat short of Consensus expectations for a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 20 2006Leading Economic Indicators Down For Second Month
The Conference Board reported that during March, the Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell 0.1% following a 0.5% February decline that was deeper than initially reported. The decline compared to Consensus expectations [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 20 2006Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Drop
Initial claims for jobless insurance reversed about all of the prior week's rise with a 10,000 worker decline to 303,000. Consensus expectations had been for an unchanged reading at 313,000 claims versus the prior week's unrevised [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 20 2006Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Drop
Initial claims for jobless insurance reversed about all of the prior week's rise with a 10,000 worker decline to 303,000. Consensus expectations had been for an unchanged reading at 313,000 claims versus the prior week's unrevised [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 19 2006Mortgage Applications Down Further
The total number of mortgage applications fell hard for the second consecutive week and posted a 1.7% drop. So far during April applications are 0.9% below the March average which fell 1.0% from February. Purchase applications fell [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 19 2006CPI Up An Expected 0.4% During March
During March, the consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.4% following a 0.1% February up tick and matched Consensus expectations. The 0.3% rise in prices less food & energy, however, was slightly firmer than expected. Prices for core [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 19 2006CPI Up An Expected 0.4% During March
During March, the consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.4% following a 0.1% February up tick and matched Consensus expectations. The 0.3% rise in prices less food & energy, however, was slightly firmer than expected. Prices for core [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 18 2006Chain Store Sales & Gasoline Prices Strong Again
Chain store sales jumped another 1.1% last week, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey, on top of the 1.8% rise which opened April. The gains raised sales so far in April 1.3% above the March [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 18 2006NAHB Housing Market Index Lowest Since Late 2001
The April level of the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index fell 7.4% and the latest level is down 30.6% since the high last June. It also was the lowest level since November 2001. During the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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