Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics

Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

  • During March, the consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.4% following a 0.1% February up tick and matched Consensus expectations. The 0.3% rise in prices less food & energy, however, was slightly firmer than expected. Prices for core [...]

  • Chain store sales jumped another 1.1% last week, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey, on top of the 1.8% rise which opened April. The gains raised sales so far in April 1.3% above the March [...]

  • The April level of the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index fell 7.4% and the latest level is down 30.6% since the high last June. It also was the lowest level since November 2001. During the [...]

  • Housing starts last month fell another 7.8% m/m to 1.960M units following the like decline during February that was little revised. The drop by far exceeded Consensus expectations for a decline to 2.04M starts. Lower single-family [...]

  • Global| Apr 18 2006

    PPI Moderate, As Expected

    The finished goods producer price index for March rose a moderate 0.5% following the unrevised 1.4% decline one month earlier. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% gain. Less food & energy the PPI (core) also was moderate and [...]

  • Global| Apr 18 2006

    PPI Moderate, As Expected

    The finished goods producer price index for March rose a moderate 0.5% following the unrevised 1.4% decline one month earlier. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% gain. Less food & energy the PPI (core) also was moderate and [...]

  • The April Empire State Index of General Business Conditions fell sharply to 15.81 from a downwardly revised March reading of 29.03. The figures are reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Consensus expectations had been [...]

  • During March, overall industrial output rose another 0.6% and added to a downwardly revised 0.5% February increase. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% gain. Factory sector output rose 0.5% after a revised 0.2% February decline [...]

  • During March, overall industrial output rose another 0.6% and added to a downwardly revised 0.5% February increase. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% gain. Factory sector output rose 0.5% after a revised 0.2% February decline [...]

  • Total business inventories slipped marginally during February following an upwardly revised 0.6% gain during the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.3% increase for February. Retail inventories reversed the prior [...]

  • During March, the U.S. federal government again posted a deeper budget deficit versus the same month last year. The deficit of $85.5B versus last March's deficit of $71.2B pulled the FY06 to date budget deficit of $303.0B deeper [...]

  • Consumer sentiment inched 0.3% higher early in April on the heels of the moderate 2.5% improvement during March. The University of Michigan's Sentiment Index rose to 89.2 and about matched Consensus expectations. During the last ten [...]