Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics

Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

  • During March, overall industrial output rose another 0.6% and added to a downwardly revised 0.5% February increase. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% gain. Factory sector output rose 0.5% after a revised 0.2% February decline [...]

  • Total business inventories slipped marginally during February following an upwardly revised 0.6% gain during the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.3% increase for February. Retail inventories reversed the prior [...]

  • During March, the U.S. federal government again posted a deeper budget deficit versus the same month last year. The deficit of $85.5B versus last March's deficit of $71.2B pulled the FY06 to date budget deficit of $303.0B deeper [...]

  • Consumer sentiment inched 0.3% higher early in April on the heels of the moderate 2.5% improvement during March. The University of Michigan's Sentiment Index rose to 89.2 and about matched Consensus expectations. During the last ten [...]

  • Global| Apr 13 2006

    Import Prices Fell Again

    During March, total import prices fell a surprising 0.4% after an unrevised 0.5% drop the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% increase. Unexpected was a 0.7% decline in petroleum prices. Crude oil prices dropped [...]

  • Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped 12,000 to 313,000 last week and reversed all of the decline in claims during the prior two weeks. Consensus expectations had been for 302,000 claims and the prior week's decline was [...]

  • Global| Apr 13 2006

    U.S. Retail Sales Rebound

    US retail sales rebounded 0.6% last month from a 0.8% decline during February that was revised from the 1.3% drop reported initially. Consensus expectations has been for a for a 0.5% gain. Motor vehicle & parts dealers sales rebounded [...]

  • Global| Apr 13 2006

    U.S. Retail Sales Rebound

    US retail sales rebounded 0.6% last month from a 0.8% decline during February that was revised from the 1.3% drop reported initially. Consensus expectations has been for a for a 0.5% gain. Motor vehicle & parts dealers sales rebounded [...]

  • The 5.5% decline last week in the total number of mortgage applications reversed most of the increases during the prior two periods. The decline left applications at the start of April about equal to the March average which fell 1.0% [...]

  • Global| Apr 12 2006

    U.S. Trade Deficit Down

    During February, the U.S. foreign trade deficit reversed most of the prior month's unrevised surge and fell to $65.7B. The decline exceeded Consensus expectations for a deficit of $67.5B. A 2.3% decline in imports during February was [...]

  • Global| Apr 12 2006

    U.S. Trade Deficit Down

    During February, the U.S. foreign trade deficit reversed most of the prior month's unrevised surge and fell to $65.7B. The decline exceeded Consensus expectations for a deficit of $67.5B. A 2.3% decline in imports during February was [...]

  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the February job openings rate, from the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), was unchanged from an upwardly revised 2.9% the prior month. The job openings rate is the number of [...]