Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 14 2006

  Import Prices Up Just 0.1%

  Total import prices rose just 0.1% last month after a 1.7% surge during May and about matched Consensus expectations for a 0.2% advance. Lower petroleum prices held back the increase with a 1.4% decline. That likely will not be [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 14 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Sagged

  Consumer sentiment early this month reversed part of its June improvement and sagged 2.2% to 83.0, according to the University of Michigan. The decline ran counter to Consensus expectations for a modest increase to 85.5. During the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 14 2006

  MAPI Business Outlook Survey Off Moderately

  The 2Q '06 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell moderately to 71 from 74 the prior quarter. The figure, however, was higher than the year earlier level and so far in 2006 the average reading of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 14 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Lower Due To Weakness in Autos & Housing

  US retail sales fell 0.1% last month following an unrevised 0.1% up tick during May. It was the first m/m decline since February and it resulted in a 3.7% (AR) increase for 2Q after the 13.4% jump the prior quarter. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 14 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Lower Due To Weakness in Autos & Housing

  US retail sales fell 0.1% last month following an unrevised 0.1% up tick during May. It was the first m/m decline since February and it resulted in a 3.7% (AR) increase for 2Q after the 13.4% jump the prior quarter. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 13 2006

  June U.S. Budget Surplus As Expected

  The U.S. federal government ran a budget surplus in June, as it usually does. The as expected figure of $20.5B narrowed the FY06 to-date budget deficit to $206.5B versus a deficit of $249.4B during the first nine months of FY05. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 13 2006

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Increased

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped 19,000 to 332,000 last week after an unrevised 2,000 slip during the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser gain to 320,000 claims. The Labor Department indicated that [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 13 2006

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Increased

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped 19,000 to 332,000 last week after an unrevised 2,000 slip during the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser gain to 320,000 claims. The Labor Department indicated that [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2006

  Mortgage Applications Up, Rates Stable

  The total number of mortgage applications added 1.0% last week to the prior week's 5.9% gain. The rise lifted applications early in July 2.5% above the June average which fell 1.5% from May. Purchase applications increased 2.6% and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2006

  U.S. Int'l Trade Deficit Deepened Less Than Expected

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in May again deepened less than expected. The deficit of $63.8B compared to a little revised April gap of $63.3B and Consensus expectations for $64.9B. During the first five months of 2006 the foreign [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2006

  U.S. Int'l Trade Deficit Deepened Less Than Expected

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in May again deepened less than expected. The deficit of $63.8B compared to a little revised April gap of $63.3B and Consensus expectations for $64.9B. During the first five months of 2006 the foreign [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 11 2006

  Gasoline Prices Up With Demand

  Retail gasoline prices rose another four cents last week to an average $2.97 per gallon (27.7% y/y). Demand for motor gasoline was quite strong during June. According to the Oil and Gas Journal's estimates, demand rose 5.6% from the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief