Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 02 2006

  ADP Nat'l Employment Report: Slower Job Growth in July

  The Nat'l Employment Report, published by the payroll processor ADP, indicated that private nonfarm payrolls in July rose just 99,000. For June the increase in ADP's measure of private nonfarm payrolls of 368,000 was accompanied by a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 02 2006

  ADP Nat'l Employment Report: Slower Job Growth in July

  The Nat'l Employment Report, published by the payroll processor ADP, indicated that private nonfarm payrolls in July rose just 99,000. For June the increase in ADP's measure of private nonfarm payrolls of 368,000 was accompanied by a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2006

  Weekly Chain Store Sales Up Moderately

  Weekly chain store sales rose another 0.9% last week after a 0.2% increase the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The moderate increases continued to leave sales below earlier [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2006

  Challenger Layoffs Lowest Since 2000

  Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that announced job cuts in July more than reversed the prior month's gain and dropped 44.7% to 37,178, the lowest level since June of 2000. During the last ten years there has been an 83% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2006

  U.S. Construction Spending Supported By Nonresidential

  The value of construction put in place rose 0.3% in June following a slight May decline that was upwardly revised. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.1% increase. Another strong gain in nonresidential building, up 2.7%, bolstered [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2006

  ISM Index Recovered in July

  In July, the Composite Index of factory sector activity more than recovered the prior month's decline and rose to 54.7, reported the Institute for Supply Management. Consensus expectations had been for a slight decline to 53.5. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2006

  U.S. Personal Income Up 0.6% As Expected

  Personal income rose an expected 0.6% during June following an unrevised 0.4% increase in May. Earlier data reflected benchmark revision. Wage & salary disbursements jumped 0.6% (6.9% y/y) in June following an unrevised no change the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2006

  ISM Index Recovered in July

  In July, the Composite Index of factory sector activity more than recovered the prior month's decline and rose to 54.7, reported the Institute for Supply Management. Consensus expectations had been for a slight decline to 53.5. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2006

  More Readings of 2Q Price Inflation

  An acceleration in the "core" PCE chain price index within the 2Q GDP report rankled markets on Friday. At 2.9%, the q/q increase was a marked acceleration from the 2.0% average of the prior four quarters Indeed, the price index for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2006

  Chicago Surveys of Factory Activity Mixed

  The Chicago Federal Reserve Bank's Midwest manufacturing index jumped 0.8% during June following a revised 0.1% dip in May. Improvement in the auto sector dominated the June rise. The three month growth rate remained firm at 5.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2006

  Chicago Surveys of Factory Activity Mixed

  The Chicago Federal Reserve Bank's Midwest manufacturing index jumped 0.8% during June following a revised 0.1% dip in May. Improvement in the auto sector dominated the June rise. The three month growth rate remained firm at 5.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 28 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Improved in Late July

  Consumer sentiment late this month recovered from the decline early in July. For the full month the volatility left sentiment off just 0.2% from June at 84.7, according to the University of Michigan. Consensus expectations had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief