Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 15 2006

  CPI Rose An Expected 0.2%

  In August, the consumer price index (CPI-U) rose an expected 0.2%, half the prior month's gain. Less food & energy, prices also rose an expected 0.2% for the second month and the gain equaled the average rate of increase during 2006. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 15 2006

  CPI Rose An Expected 0.2%

  In August, the consumer price index (CPI-U) rose an expected 0.2%, half the prior month's gain. Less food & energy, prices also rose an expected 0.2% for the second month and the gain equaled the average rate of increase during 2006. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2006

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Up

  In July, total business inventories rose 0.6% following an upwardly revised 0.9% June gain. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% increase. That combination left the inventory to sales ratio stable m/m at 1.26, up from its low in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2006

  U.S. Import Prices Strong

  Total import prices rose 0.8% last month following an upwardly revised 1.0% increase during July. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.3% increase. Less petroleum, import prices rose a firm 0.5%, the largest increase since May. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2006

  U.S. Budget Deficit Deteriorated As Expected

  The August U.S. federal government budget deficit of $64.6B was double the July shortfall and deeper than August of last year. The figure compared favorably, however, to Consensus expectations for a $67.0B deficit, elevated due to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2006

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Fell Unexpectedly

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell 5,000 last week to 308,000, repeating a slightly revised decline during the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims and filings were at the lowest level in nearly two [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Gain Light; Gasoline Prices Fell

  In August, US retail sales rose a modest 0.2% following an unrevised July gain of 1.4%. Consensus expectations had been or a slight 0.1% decline. Sales by motor vehicle & parts dealers rose 0.4% (3.7% y/y) after a 4.3% surge in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Gain Light; Gasoline Prices Fell

  In August, US retail sales rose a modest 0.2% following an unrevised July gain of 1.4%. Consensus expectations had been or a slight 0.1% decline. Sales by motor vehicle & parts dealers rose 0.4% (3.7% y/y) after a 4.3% surge in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2006

  Mortgage Applications For Home Purchase Up

  For the second consecutive week, a firm rise in the number of mortgage applications for purchase led overall mortgage apps higher, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Purchase applications added 5.3% to the prior week's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2006

  Mortgage Applications For Home Purchase Up

  For the second consecutive week, a firm rise in the number of mortgage applications for purchase led overall mortgage apps higher, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Purchase applications added 5.3% to the prior week's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 12 2006

  Small Business Optimism At A Three Year Low

  Small business optimism in August reversed all of the prior month's uptick and fell 2.2%, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). At 95.9 the index was at its lowest level since March of 2003. During the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 12 2006

  Chain Store Sales Slip Despite Lower Gasoline Prices

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey reported that chain store sales slipped 0.3% last week and reversed the prior period's gain. Despite the backpedal, the average level of sales in September is up 0.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief