For October, the Leading Index of the major 7 OECD economies rose 0.2% after an unrevised 0.4% increase during September. It was the third increase following three consecutive months of decline and the index's six month growth rate [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Dec 11 2006OECD Leaders Up Again
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 08 2006US Flow of Funds: Debt Growth Off Considerably
Credit market debt outstanding owed by all sectors of the economy grew 7.3% (AR, 8.8% y/y) during the third quarter, the slowest quarterly growth rate since early last year. The slowdown reflected the federal government's debt which [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 08 2006U.S. Consumer Sentiment Fell on Diminished Expectations
The University of Michigan's preliminary reading of consumer sentiment this month fell 2.1% from November to 90.2. The decline followed a 1.6% November drop and compared to Consensus expectations for a slight increase to 92.5. During [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 08 2006Firm U.S. Payroll Report with Still More Upward Revisions
Nonfarm payrolls in November rose 132,000 and though the gain in the prior month was reduced slightly, the net upward revision during September and October totaled 55,000 jobs. Consensus expectations for November had been for a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 08 2006Firm U.S. Payroll Report with Still More Upward Revisions
Nonfarm payrolls in November rose 132,000 and though the gain in the prior month was reduced slightly, the net upward revision during September and October totaled 55,000 jobs. Consensus expectations for November had been for a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 07 2006Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Down, Monster Index Up
Last week, a 34,000 decline in initial unemployment insurance claims to 324,000 retraced all of the prior period's little revised jump. The decline nearly matched Consensus expectations for 320,000 claims. During the last ten years [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 07 2006Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Down, Monster Index Up
Last week, a 34,000 decline in initial unemployment insurance claims to 324,000 retraced all of the prior period's little revised jump. The decline nearly matched Consensus expectations for 320,000 claims. During the last ten years [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 06 2006Life in Housing - Mortgage Applications Recover
The total number of mortgage applications rose 8.1% last week and recovered all of the sharp declines during the prior two weeks, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Purchase applications jumped 4.9%, the largest weekly [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 06 2006Slower U.S. Factory Inventory Accumulation: Oil & Computers
Factory inventories rose an even slower 0.4% during October, half the 0.8% average gain during the prior six months. It was the slowest increase since a 0.5% decline in inventories during February and the y/y rise ticked lower to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 06 2006ADP Report: Private Sector Jobs Rose 158,000 in November
The ADP Nat'l Employment Report, reported by the payroll processor, indicated a 158,000 rise in private nonfarm payrolls last month. A 97,500 increase had been expected and the November figure from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 06 2006ADP Report: Private Sector Jobs Rose 158,000 in November
The ADP Nat'l Employment Report, reported by the payroll processor, indicated a 158,000 rise in private nonfarm payrolls last month. A 97,500 increase had been expected and the November figure from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Dec 05 2006Gasoline Prices Highest in Two Months
Pump prices for regular unleaded gasoline increased five cents last week to an average $2.30 per gallon after penny increases during both of the prior two weeks. The gains lifted the average price to its highest since the opening week [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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