The April S&P/Case-Shiller Composite 20 home price index fell 1.4% m/m and continued its decline from the peak in home prices reached during July 2006. The decline in home prices since that peak totals 17.8% and 15.3% during the last [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Jun 24 2008Case-Shiller Home Price Index Off 17.8% Since Peak
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 24 2008Consumer Confidence in June Again Fell Surprising Hard
The Conference Board reported that consumer confidence this month fell by 13.3% m/m after a 7.5% drop in May. The decline nearly equaled the largest since 2005 and it more-than-doubled the decline that was generally expected. The June [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 23 2008Chicago Fed Index Still Gives A Recession Signal
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI), published by the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank, for May remained negative at -0.96. The reading left the three-month moving average of the figure to -1.08 which was near its lowest level [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 23 2008U.S. Bankruptcies Surge and the 2005 Procedure
In the wake of legislation passed in October, 2005 the rules governing the filing for bankruptcy in the United States changed dramatically. Late that year, the number of bankruptcies surged five-fold from the earlier level. The data [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 23 2008U.S. Bankruptcies Surge and the 2005 Procedure
In the wake of legislation passed in October, 2005 the rules governing the filing for bankruptcy in the United States changed dramatically. Late that year, the number of bankruptcies surged five-fold from the earlier level. The data [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 20 2008Higher U.S. Gasoline Prices Crimp Miles Driven, and Economic Growth
Do higher prices for something modify behavior? Probably. Do higher relative prices affect demand for something, maybe by a lot? Yes indeed. Consumers will buy less of the affected item or service whose price is rising more than the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 20 2008Higher U.S. Gasoline Prices Crimp Miles Driven, and Economic Growth
Do higher prices for something modify behavior? Probably. Do higher relative prices affect demand for something, maybe by a lot? Yes indeed. Consumers will buy less of the affected item or service whose price is rising more than the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 19 2008Philadelphia Fed Index Slipped, Prices Surged
The Index of General Business conditions in the manufacturing sector for June, from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank, slipped to -17.1 following improvement during May. A level of -10 had been expected. The Philadelphia Fed [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 19 2008U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Slipped
Initial unemployment insurance claims slipped to 381,000 last week from a revised 386,000 during the prior week, which was revised up slightly. Consensus expectations had been for 375,000 claims. The latest figure covers the survey [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 19 2008U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Slipped
Initial unemployment insurance claims slipped to 381,000 last week from a revised 386,000 during the prior week, which was revised up slightly. Consensus expectations had been for 375,000 claims. The latest figure covers the survey [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 18 2008U.S. Current Account Deficit Slightly Deeper in 1Q'08
During 1Q'08, the US current account deficit deepened slightly to $176.4 billion from a revised $167.2 billion during last year's final quarter. The Q1 deficit was deeper than the Consensus expectation for a figure of $173 billion. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 18 2008U.S. Current Account Deficit Slightly Deeper in 1Q'08
During 1Q'08, the US current account deficit deepened slightly to $176.4 billion from a revised $167.2 billion during last year's final quarter. The Q1 deficit was deeper than the Consensus expectation for a figure of $173 billion. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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