Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 10 2009

  Manpower Survey: 2Q09 Employment Seen As Weakest Since Credit Crunch Recession

  The latest survey of hiring intentions by 31,800 employers, performed by Manpower Inc., indicates the weakest plans since the "credit crunch" recession of 1980. The Manpower Index level of -1 for 2Q09 follows a string of steadily [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2009

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Nearing All-time Low

  According to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), small business optimism fell even further last month. The index level of 82.6 was down 1.8% month-to-month after a slightly revised 1.3% January decline. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2009

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Are Up in Early March

  Chain store sales ticked up 0.2% last week and began this month slightly above the February average, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers-Goldman Sachs Index. A moderate rebound in consumer spending is indicated [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2009

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Are Stable; Crude Oil Prices Rise

  Regular gasoline prices were roughly stable last week, up one penny to $1.94 per gallon. That left the price still near the middle of the $1.89 to $1.96 range in place since early February but the latest was up 33 cents from the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2009

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Nearing All-time Low

  According to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), small business optimism fell even further last month. The index level of 82.6 was down 1.8% month-to-month after a slightly revised 1.3% January decline. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2009

  U.S. Unemployment Rate of 8.1% Highest Since 1983. Payroll Loss Near the Biggest Since 1949

  Hemorrhaging of workers continued last month in the U.S. labor market according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The unemployment rate jumped to 8.1% which was the highest level since December of 1983. The rate increase exceeded [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2009

  U.S. Unemployment Rate of 8.1% Highest Since 1983. Payroll Loss Near the Biggest Since 1949

  Hemorrhaging of workers continued last month in the U.S. labor market according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The unemployment rate jumped to 8.1% which was the highest level since December of 1983. The rate increase exceeded [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2009

  U.S. Factory Inventories Fell A Fifth Month, Shipments Off 15.6% Y/Y

  Factory inventory levels continued to plummet during January. The 0.8% monthly decline was the fifth in a row and lowered inventories by 4.5% from their August peak. To be sure, these figures have been influenced by the decline in oil [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2009

  U.S. 4Q Worker Productivity Revised Down Sharply

  During last year's fourth quarter, labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector fell 0.4% (AR), revised down sharply from last month's indication of a 3.2% increase. The downward revision to 4Q08, however, was offset by upward [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2009

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Fell Back

  Weakness in the U.S. labor market eased slightly last week. A 31,000 decline in initial claims for unemployment insurance reversed the gain recorded in the prior week, which had brought claims to a level not seen since 1982. The Labor [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 05 2009

  U.S. 4Q Worker Productivity Revised Down Sharply

  During last year's fourth quarter, labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector fell 0.4% (AR), revised down sharply from last month's indication of a 3.2% increase. The downward revision to 4Q08, however, was offset by upward [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 04 2009

  Challenger Layoffs Eased Somewhat

  Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that February job cut announcements eased slightly to 186,350 following 241,749 layoffs during January. Challenger also reported that announced hiring plans reversed much of the strong January [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief