The DIHK survey, a poling of over 25000 firms by the German chambers of industry and commerce, is not conducted in Q3. So the fourth quarters -10 reading compares to the -17 reading from Q2. It is a net balance of opinion diffusion [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Oct 14 2009U.S. Retail Sales Decline In September After Auto-Led August Gain; Underlying Trend Firms
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 14 2009U.S. Business Inventory Decumulation Continues At A Record Rate
Why hold inventories if they're loosing value and the demand outlook is uncertain? These two questions are behind the decumulation which continued through August. Business inventories fell another 1.5% which exceeded expectations for [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 14 2009U.S. Import Prices Tick Higher As Non-Oil Prices Firm
Weakness in the U.S. dollar is pushing up non-oil import prices. Following the strength in oil prices earlier this year, now non-oil prices have firmed. U.S. import prices last month ticked up the expected 0.1% after jumps between [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 13 2009Weekly Gasoline Prices Slip While Crude Oil Prices Strengthen
The pump price for regular gasoline fell again last week to $2.47 per gallon, the lowest level since mid-July. However, these prices remain up from the December low of $1.61. Recently, prices reversed the trend and the wholesale [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 13 2009U.S. Small Business Optimism Improves Slightly Again
During September, small business' optimism inched higher for the second month as the severe economic weakness of early this year passed. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) indicated their small business optimism [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 13 2009U.S. Small Business OptimismImproves Slightly Again
During September, small business' optimism inched higher for the second month as the severe economic weakness of early this year passed. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) indicated their small business optimism [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 12 2009JOLTS: U.S. Job Openings Fell To New Low, Off One-Third From Last Year
For August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that job availability fell to a new series' low in August. The 0.9% downtick in the number of job openings followed a 4.2% July [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 12 2009JOLTS: U.S. Job Openings Fell To New Low, Off One-Third From Last Year
For August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that job availability fell to a new series' low in August. The 0.9% downtick in the number of job openings followed a 4.2% July [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 09 2009U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows Slightly But Petroleum Imports Drop Sharply
Though oil prices have risen, the recession in the U.S. economy has prompted a sharp cutback in the dollar amount of oil imports. That cutback helped the international trade deficit to narrow during August to $30.7.0B versus a little- [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 09 2009U.S. Trade Deficit NarrowsSlightly But Petroleum Imports Drop Sharply
Though oil prices have risen, the recession in the U.S. economy has prompted a sharp cutback in the dollar amount of oil imports. That cutback helped the international trade deficit to narrow during August to $30.7.0B versus a little- [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 08 2009U.S. Weekly Jobless Insurance Claims Fall To Lowest Since January
The labor market signaled improvement again. Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week to the lowest level since early-January. The Labor Department indicated that claims fell to 521,000 from an upwardly revised 554,000 [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Oct 08 2009U.S. Weekly Jobless InsuranceClaims Fall To Lowest Since January
The labor market signaled improvement again. Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week to the lowest level since early-January. The Labor Department indicated that claims fell to 521,000 from an upwardly revised 554,000 [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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