Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 11 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Jump As Interest Rates Retreat

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that overall mortgage applications rose 8.2% last week, the second week of strong gain. Applications to purchase a home rose 6.7% w/w but remained down by one-quarter from last year. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2011

  U.S. Trade Deficit Increases With Higher Oil Prices

  Higher oil prices acted to deepen the U.S. trade deficit to its widest since last June. The foreign trade deficit increased in March to $48.2B versus $45.4B in February, revised from $45.8B reported initially. Expectations had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2011

  U.S. Import & Export Prices Continue Strong

  Pricing strength amongst internationally traded U.S. products has been pronounced this year and last. Overall U.S. import prices last month jumped another 2.2% after a little-revised 2.6% March increase. The gain was stronger than [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Slip

  Earlier strength in chain store sales stalled recently. Store sales were unchanged last week after a 0.8% slip at the end of April. The stall follows great strength earlier in April and during March. During the last ten years there [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2011

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Remains Subdued

  The National Federation of Independent Business indicated that its index of small business optimism slipped to 91.2 in April from an unrevised 91.9 in March. The latest was the lowest level since September. Deterioration amongst the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Have Nowhere To Go But Up But Crude Oil Is Volatile

  Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline rose another penny to $3.97 per gallon, the highest level since July, 2008. Typically, however, pump prices start rising this time of year in anticipation of increased seasonal demand. To [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 09 2011

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Strengthens

  The recent recovery in consumer spending has been accompanied by a combination of strengthened use of non-revolving credit and less use of revolving usage. Reported Friday, overall consumer credit rose $6.0B during March following a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 06 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Show Strength During April

  April brought increased buying activity at chain stores. Reported Wednesday was a 0.8% (+2.8% y/y) slip in chain store sales last week, but that still left sales for the month as a whole up 2.7% m/m after a 3.0% gain during March. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 06 2011

  U.S. Payroll Hiring Is Firm But Jobless Rate Ticks Up

  Nonfarm payrolls increased 244,000 last month after a 221,000 March gain, initially reported as 216,000. The February rise also was revised up to 235,000 from 194,000. The latest gain exceeded Consensus expectations for a 185,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 06 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Show Strength During April

  April brought increased buying activity at chain stores. Reported Wednesday was a 0.8% (+2.8% y/y) slip in chain store sales last week, but that still left sales for the month as a whole up 2.7% m/m after a 3.0% gain during March. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 06 2011

  U.S. Payroll Hiring Is Firm But Jobless Rate Ticks Up

  Nonfarm payrolls increased 244,000 last month after a 221,000 March gain, initially reported as 216,000. The February rise also was revised up to 235,000 from 194,000. The latest gain exceeded Consensus expectations for a 185,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2011

  U.S. Monster Employment Index Hits New High

  The Monster Index rose 6.6% m/m during April following similar, strong gains during the prior two months. The increase raised the latest level 9.0% versus last year and 18.9% from its recent trough. Industry improvement has been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief