Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 17 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Slip As Crude Oil Falls

  Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline slipped back to $3.96 per gallon but remained near the highest level since July, 2008. Typically, however, pump prices start rising this time of year in anticipation of increased seasonal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2011

  U.S. Industrial Activity Disappoints While Factory Sector Activity Falls

  Overall, U.S. industrial production was unchanged during April after a revised 0.8% March jump, initially reported as 0.9%. The latest figure was weaker than Consensus expectations for a 0.4% gain according to Action Economics. More [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2011

  U.S. Housing Starts Decline Unexpectedly

  There's still no forward momentum behind housing sector activity. Housing starts fell 10.6% to 523,000 units last month after a revised 12.9% March gain to 585,000, initially reported as 549,000. The latest figure was the lowest in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2011

  NABE Revises Growth Forecast Down Slightly

  The National Association for Business Economics reported a downward revision to its latest growth forecast. For this year, real GDP growth should average 2.8%, versus 3.3% expected three months ago. For next year, growth is expected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2011

  U.S. Home Builders Association Index Remains Flat

  The National Association of Home Builders reported that its May index of housing market activity held steady at 16 versus an unrevised 16 in April. Though the latest figure remained above the all-time low of 8 reached in January of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2011

  Empire State Factory Index Reverses Course

  The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that its Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions fell to 11.88 and reversed all of the gains this year. The figure ran counter to Consensus expectations for a higher [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 13 2011

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Gains

  Consumers may be getting used to what is an uncertain economic environment. The mid-May reading of consumer sentiment, from the University of Michigan, rose 3.7% to 72.4. It was the highest figure since March. A reading of 70.0 had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 13 2011

  U.S. CPI Driven By Energy & Food

  Higher energy & food prices were behind much of last month's increase in consumer prices. The Commerce Department reported that prices rose 0.4% in April after an unrevised 0.5% March gain. The increase matched Consensus expectations. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 13 2011

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Accelerates

  The U.S. Commerce Department reported yesterday that business inventories rose 1.0% in March after a revised 0.7% February increase, originally reported as 0.5%. A 0.9% March gain in inventories had been expected by Bloomberg. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 12 2011

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Retrace Earlier Gain

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell last week to 434,000 after the jump to 478,000 during the prior period, initially reported as 474,000. The latest figure roughly matched Consensus expectations for 430,000 claims. The four- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 12 2011

  U.S. Retail Sales Boosted By Gasoline Outlays

  The rise in gasoline prices could be sapping strength from spending on other goods. Or, weak April retail sales could be due to a payback after earlier strength. We'll know more in the next few months. Total retail & food service [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 12 2011

  U.S. PPI Strength Driven By Energy

  The U.S. producer price index for finished goods increased 0.8% during April, similar to the 0.7% March gain. The rise was stronger than the 0.6% Consensus expectation and the y/y increase of 6.6% was its strongest since September [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief