Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 17 2011

  U.S. Initial Claims For Unemployment Insurance Increase

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance increased to 410,000 and made up most of the prior week's decline. The earlier week's figure was revised up slightly to 385,000 from 383,000. Nevertheless, claims remained close to the lowest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2011

  U.S. CPI Is Strong With Higher Energy & Food Costs; Core Pricing Firms

  Pricing power improved last month -- everywhere. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in January, the same as in December, but generally higher than prior months. Consensus expectations were for a 0.3% rise. Core price inflation bumped [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2011

  U.S. Industrial Production Falls With Less Utility Output While Factories Produce More

  U.S. industrial production slipped 0.1% in January after an upwardly revised 1.2% December increase, initially reported as 0.8%. The latest decline disappointed Consensus expectations for a 0.5% gain. The January figure followed an [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2011

  U.S. PPI Jumps Again

  The U.S. Producer Price Index for finished goods increased another 0.8% last month after a 0.9% December advance, initially reported as 1.1%. Earlier figures reflect benchmark revisions and the latest increase matched Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2011

  U.S. Housing Starts Snap Back

  Despite severe winter storms last month, home building activity improved. Total housing starts rose 14.6% in January to 596,000, the highest level since September. The increase followed a 5.1% December decline that was deeper than the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 15 2011

  U.S. Home Builders Association Index Remains Unchanged

  The National Association of Home Builders reported that their February index of housing market activity held at 16 for the fourth consecutive month; the average for all of 2010. The latest figure remained above the all-time low of 8 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 15 2011

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Recovers

  The rate of business inventory accumulation picked back up in December. The 0.8% gain was double the 0.4% November increase, revised from 0.2%. During the last three months, inventories rose at an 8.0% annual rate versus the Q3 peak [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 15 2011

  Empire State Factory Index Increases Again

  The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that its Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions improved further to 15.43, the highest since June of last year. The figure roughly equaled Consensus expectations for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 15 2011

  U.S. Import Prices Firm

  U.S. import prices showed broad-based strength. During January, prices jumped another 1.5% after an upwardly revised 1.2% December increase, initially reported as 1.1%. The increase was stronger than Consensus expectations for a 0.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 15 2011

  U.S. Retail Sales Gain Disappoints

  January consumer spending lost forward momentum. Retail and food service sales rose 0.3% last month after a 0.5% December increase that was revised from 0.6%. Sales have risen for seven consecutive months; however, the latest was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 14 2011

  Commodity Prices: Are They A Harbinger of Inflation or Real Growth?

  Consumer price inflation has been under control of late with both the overall CPI (1.4%) and the core inflation rate (0.6%) at their lowest since the mid-1960s. A popular harbinger of inflation, however, is the price of gold and it is [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 11 2011

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Firms Again

  The improved job market coupled with low prices seem to be buoying consumers' spirits. The mid-February reading of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan rose to 75.1 and more-than recovered its January decline to an [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief