Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 01 2011

  U.S. ISM Factory Index Recovery Is Modest

  The pace of activity in the U.S. manufacturing sector didn't deteriorate last month, but it didn't improve much either. That's the message from this morning's report on the Composite Index of activity in the factory sector. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2011

  U.S. Claims for Jobless Insurance Are Little-Changed

  Initial claims for jobless insurance held roughly steady at 428,000 during the June 25th week versus an unrevised 429,000 during the week prior. The latest compared to Consensus expectations for 422,000 claims. The four-week moving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2011

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Recover Somewhat

  The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending sales of existing single-family homes rose 8.2% last month after a little-revised 11.3% April decline. Despite the monthly improvement sales this quarter remained down [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Rise In June As Interest Rates Fall

  Overall mortgage applications fell 2.7% last week following the prior week's 5.9% shortfall. Nevertheless, strength earlier in June raised the monthly average 4.6% from May. Applications to refinance a mortgage led that increase. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 28 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Surge

  Chain store sales jumped 2.9% last week following modest declines during the prior two weeks. The increase left sales so far in June down 0.5% versus May, but that was half the m/m drop as of the prior week. During the last ten years [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 28 2011

  U.S. Consumer Confidence, Future and Present, Continues Downward

  The Conference Board reported that its June Index of Consumer Confidence fell 5.2% to 58.6. That followed a 6.5% May decline which was slightly-less-than reported initially. The latest figure contrasted with Consensus expectations for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 28 2011

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Steadies

  The seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index slipped 0.1% m/m in April after a deepened 0.3% decline in March. It was the tenth consecutive monthly decline in the seasonally adjusted series. That left the latest index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 28 2011

  U.S. Gas & Oil Prices Are Lower Still

  The pump price for regular gasoline fell another eight cents to $3.57 per gallon last week, the lowest level since mid-March. Since last month's peak, prices have fallen 39 cents but remain up nearly one-third versus last year. Pump [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 27 2011

  U.S. Income Gain Is Moderate & Spending Is Flat

  Personal income rose 0.3% last month following a 0.3% increase during April, initially reported as 0.4%. A 0.4% gain had been expected. Disposable income gained 0.2%, the same as in April. Adjusted for prices, however, growth was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 24 2011

  U.S. GDP Growth Little-Revised And Weak

  In its "final" estimate of economic growth last quarter, the Commerce Department still didn't find much that was materially different from its "advance" reading. Real GDP grew 1.9% (SAAR), the weakest growth since Q2'10. The Q1 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 24 2011

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rebound

  New orders for durable goods improved 1.9% last month following an April decline of 2.7%, initially reported as -3.6%. The latest increase matched Consensus expectations. Transportation sector orders rebounded 5.8% (14.7% y/y) as [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 23 2011

  U.S. New Home Sales Slip

  Total new home sales in May slipped 2.1% m/m to 319,000 (AR) from a little-revised 326,000 in April. The latest figure beat expectations for 310,000 sales according to Action Economics. The figure is consistent with others suggesting [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief