Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 04 2011

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Drop With Higher Gasoline Prices

  Gasoline prices can have an impact on demand for motor vehicles. And when gas prices surge as they have, demand goes down, and demand for less fuel efficient light-trucks goes down a lot. Unit sales of light vehicles fell 4.2% during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 01 2011

  U.S. Factory Sector Momentum Stalls

  Still near its recent high, the Composite Index of activity in the factory sector from the Institute for Supply Management slipped to 61.2 from an unrevised 61.4 in February. The figure roughly matched Consensus expectations for 61.3. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 01 2011

  U.S. Payroll Employment Gain Is Healthy And Jobless Rate Falls

  The U.S. job market clearly recovered from depressing winter weather. Nonfarm payrolls increased 216,000 last month and added to a 194,000 February gain, initially reported as 192,000. The January gain also was revised up slightly to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2011

  U.S. Factory Orders Slip M/M But Trend Gain Stable

  Improvement in factory sector activity slowed last month. Factory orders ticked down 0.1% during February after an unrevised 3.3% January gain. For durable goods only, orders fell 0.6%, revised from the 0.9% decline reported last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2011

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Slip

  Initial claims for jobless insurance slipped to 388,000 last week from 394,000. The decline was to a level higher than Consensus expectations for 380,000, however, figures were revised back to 2006 due to new seasonal factors. Claims [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Fall As Interest Rates Rise

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that overall mortgage applications fell 7.5% last week to the lowest level in a month. For March overall, applications rose 12.6% from the February average. Applications to refinance fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2011

  ADP Reports Another Firm Job Increase

  In its latest National Employment Report, the payroll processor Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and economic consultants Macroeconomic Advisers, indicated that the March level of private nonfarm payrolls rose another 201,000 after a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 29 2011

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Declines Sharply

  Consumers know full-well the implications of the recent jump in petroleum prices; and they aren't good. The Conference Board reported that its March index of consumer confidence fell 11.9% to 63.4 and retraced the 11.1% February rise, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 29 2011

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Moves To New Low

  Home prices continue weak and fell during January to their lowest since mid-2003. During January, the seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index fell 0.2% after an unrevised 0.4% December drop. It was the seventh [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 29 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Reach New High

  The pump price for regular gasoline rose four cents last week to $3.60 per gallon to the highest level since September, 2008 and more-than-double the December, 2008 low of $1.61. Typically, pump prices decline this time of year due to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 28 2011

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Increase

  The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that February pending sales of existing single-family homes rose 2.1% and recouped most of the unrevised 2.8% January decline. No change in sales had been the Consensus expectation [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 28 2011

  U.S. Personal Spending Growth Improves

  Personal consumption expenditures grew 0.7% last month after a 0.3% January gain that was revised up from 0.2%. A 0.5% February increase had been expected. Spending on goods rose 1.5% (7.4% y/y) after a 0.8% January increase. A 6.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief