Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 17 2019

  U.S. Home Builder Sentiment Continues to Increase

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo rose to 68 in September from 67 during August. It was the highest level since October of last year, but it remained below the expansion high [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 17 2019

  U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens

  Industrial production rebounded 0.6% (0.4% y/y) during August following a 0.1% easing in July, revised from -0.2%. A 0.2% gain had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Factory sector output improved 0.5% (-0.5% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 17 2019

  U.S. Crude Oil Prices Surge after Attack

  After an attack on a Saudi Arabian oil facility on Sunday, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil strengthened to $62.90 per barrel yesterday from $54.85 on Friday. The outsized jump placed the price of crude oil slightly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 16 2019

  Empire State Manufacturing Activity Weakens; Expectations Dour

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions for September eased to 2.0 from 4.8 in August. A reading of 3.9 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. A steady 27% of respondents reported that [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2019

  TTTTTTTTTTTT

  Import prices improved 0.2% (-1.8% y/y) during July following a 1.1% June decline... Export prices also rose 0.2% (-0.9% y/y) in July after June's 0.6% decline.......... The import and export price series can be found in Haver's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2019

  U.S. Business Inventories & Sales Increase

  Total business inventories rose 0.4% (4.8% y/y) in July versus an unrevised zero change in June and a 0.3% May increase. Total business sales edged up 0.3% (1.3% y/y) after holding steady in June, revised from 0.1% . The inventory-to- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2019

  U.S. Retail Sales Rise as Online Sales Jump

  Consumer spending remains on a positive track. Total retail sales rose 0.4% (4.1% y/y) during August following a 0.8% July gain, revised from a 0.7%. June's increase was revised to 0.4% from 0.3%. A 0.2% August gain had been expected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 12 2019

  U.S. Government Budget Deficit Tops $1 Trillion

  The U.S. Treasury Department reported that the federal government ran a $1.067 trillion budget deficit during the first 11 months of FY'19. It was the first time in seven years that the deficit was that deep, and compared to an $898.1 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 12 2019

  U.S. CPI Edges Higher; Core Prices Accelerate Y/Y

  The Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% during August (1.7% y/y) following a 0.3% July increase. The rise matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The CPI excluding food & energy increased 0.3% for the third straight [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2019

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories & Sales Rise Moderately

  Wholesale inventories increased 0.2% during July (7.1% y/y) after a 0.1% dip in June, revised from unchanged. The gain matched expectations in the Informa Global Markets Survey. Durable goods inventories eased 0.2% (+8.7% y/y) in July [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2019

  U.S. Producer Prices Increase Minimally; Core Price Index Strengthens

  The Producer Price Index for final demand edged 0.1% higher during August (1.8% y/y) following a 0.2% July rise. A 0.1% gain had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Producer prices excluding food & energy [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 10 2019

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Dips; Hiring Rate Improves

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate slipped to 4.5% during July from an unrevised 4.6% in June. It remained below the 4.8% record reached in January. The job openings rate is the job openings level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief