Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 23 2020

  State & Pandemic Assistance Unemployment Insurance Claims Increase Unexpectedly

  • State initial jobless claims rise for the first time since March, as job reopenings are rolled back. • New filings for Federal Pandemic Unemployment Assistance rise. • Continuing claims for state programs slip. • The insured [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 22 2020

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Post Record Rebound in June; Prices Strengthen

  • Existing home sales rise to highest level in three months. • Sales increases are broad-based across the nation. • Prices strengthen. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of existing homes jumped 20.7% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 22 2020

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Declines

  • Prices fall throughout the country. • Notable declines are logged in several areas. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index fell 0.3% (+4.9% y/y) during May following a 0.1% April rise, revised from 0.2%. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 21 2020

  Chicago Fed National Index Moves Up in June, Led by Production

  • Data suggest recession is ending. • Production & income rise while employment holds fairly steady. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago reported that the National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to 4.11 during June from 3.50 in May, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 21 2020

  U.S. Petroleum & Natural Gas Prices Were Little Changed Last Week

  • Gasoline prices slip. • Crude oil prices rise slightly. • Natural gas prices ease. The price for regular gasoline slipped to $2.19 per gallon (-20.5% y/y) in the week ended July 20 from $2.20 in the previous week. Prices remained [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 20 2020

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Strengthen Further

  • Prices continue to increase across sectors. • Crude oil prices are strengthening. • Metals rise while lumber prices soar. Improved activity in the factory sector continues to bolster industrial materials prices. A 7.2% jump in June [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 17 2020

  U.S. Housing Starts Strengthen in June; Building Permits Rise

  • Home building continues to recover from coronavirus shutdown. • Building permits increase modestly. Low mortgage rates are bolstering new home building activity. Residential housing starts strengthened 17.3% last month (-4.0% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 16 2020

  U.S. Home Builder Sentiment Continues to Strengthen in July

  • Housing market activity is improving broadly. • Number of prospective buyers revisits earlier highs. The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo moved up to 72 during July and added [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 16 2020

  U.S. Retail and Food Service Sales Strengthen during June; Core Sales Firm

  • Consumer spending continues to strengthen. • Discretionary spending growth remains firm. Total retail sales, including food service establishments, increased 7.5% during June following a record 18.2% May increase, revised from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 15 2020

  U.S. Import Prices Increase Broadly in June

  • Higher oil prices add to earlier gains. • Nonoil prices improve again. • Export prices strengthen. Import prices improved 1.4% last month following a 0.8% gain during May, revised from 1.0%. A 1.0% rise had been expected in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 15 2020

  U.S. Industrial Production Ramps Up for Second Consecutive Month

  • Manufacturing output gains are broad-based in June. • Auto output is exceptionally strong followed by high-tech production. • Capacity utilization markedly increases. Industrial production increased 5.4% in June (-10.8% y/y) after [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 14 2020

  U.S. Consumer Price Index & Core Prices Rebound in June

  • Pricing power recovers a bit. • Food prices continue to strengthen. • Energy prices rebound. The Consumer Price Index rebounded 0.6% (0.6% y/y) during June following a 0.1% May easing. The rise compared to expectations for a 0.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief