• Outlays surge as government begins economic stimulus payments. • Receipts decline as businesses close down and tax payments are delayed. With recession developing, the government's financial situation is deteriorating. The U.S. [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| May 12 2020U.S. Government Budget Deficit Jumps to $1.481 Trillion So Far in FY 2020
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 12 2020
U.S. Petroleum Prices Move Higher
• Gasoline prices recoup earlier declines. • Crude oil costs reach four-week high. • Natural gas prices strengthen. Retail gasoline prices increased to $1.85 per gallon (-35.4% y/y) in the week ended May 11 from $1.79 per gallon in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 12 2020
U.S. Consumer Price Index & Core Prices Fall Again
• Lower energy prices lead the decline. • Food prices jump with increased at-home consumption. • Core goods prices broadly weaken. The CPI fell 0.8% (+0.3%) during April, the largest decline since late-2008. The fall was double the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 11 2020
FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Declines Stabilize
The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) fell 0.8% during the four weeks ended Friday. The price index has moved irregularly sideways for the last six weeks but [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 08 2020
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Declines Record 20.5 Million; Unemployment Rate Sets Post-War High
• Labor market collapses as coronavirus takes hold. • Jobless rate surges to record for monthly data reported back to 1948. • Lower paid workers bare brunt of job cuts. Nonfarm payroll employment declined a record 20.500 million [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 08 2020
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Declines Record 20.5 Million; Unemployment Rate Sets Post-War High
• Labor market collapses as coronavirus takes hold. • Jobless rate surges to 1948 high. • Lower paid workers bare bulk of job cuts. Nonfarm payroll employment declined a record 20.500 million during April (-12.9% y/y) following an [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 08 2020
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Declines Record 20.5 Million; Unemployment Rate Sets Post-War High
• Labor market collapses as coronavirus takes hold. • Jobless rate surges to record for monthly data reported back to 1948. • Lower paid workers bare brunt of job cuts. Nonfarm payroll employment declined a record 20.500 million [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 08 2020
U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Decline Record 20.5 million; Unemployment Rate Sets Post-War High
• Labor market collapses as coronavirus takes hold. • Jobless rate surges to record for monthly data reported back to 1948. • Lower paid workers bare brunt of job cuts. Nonfarm payroll employment declined a record 20.500 million [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 08 2020
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Declines Record 20.5 million; Unemployment Rate Sets Post-War High
• Labor market collapses as coronavirus takes hold. • Jobless rate surges to 1948 high. • Lower paid workers bare bulk of job cuts.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 07 2020
U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Unexpectedly Pared Back During March
• As consumers spend less, they use less credit. • Credit cards were pocketed ... for the time being. With the job picture eroding and storefronts shuttering, consumers acted rationally. Consumer credit outstanding declined $12.0 [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 07 2020
U.S. Productivity Declines; Unit Labor Costs Surge in Q1'20
• Output per hour fell as recessionary forces emerge. • Unit labor costs rise and set one-year high. Productivity in the nonfarm business sector during Q1'20 fell 2.5% (SAAR) after an unchanged 1.2% Q4'19 rise. A 5.2% decline had been [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| May 07 2020
U.S. Productivity Declines; Unit Labor Costs Surge in Q1'20
• Output per hour fell as recessionary forces emerge. • Unit labor costs rise and set one-year high. Productivity in the nonfarm business sector during Q1'20 fell 2.5% (SAAR) after an unchanged 1.2% Q4'19 rise. A 5.2% decline had been [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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