• Confidence backpedals m/m but rises sharply from recession low. • View of present conditions continues to strengthen; expectations deteriorate. • Confidence again rises amongst all age brackets. The Conference Board's consumer [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Oct 27 2020U.S. Consumer Confidence Eases in October, Disappointing Expectations
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 27 2020
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Post Surprising Increase in September
• The factory sector continues to strengthen. • Business investment leads the improvement. • Shipments rise modestly; orders backlogs ease. Manufacturers' orders for durable goods strengthened 1.9% (-1.9% y/y) during September [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 27 2020
U.S. Natural Gas Prices Surge; Oil & Gasoline Prices Show Little Change
• Natural gas prices strengthen as seasonal demand increases; supply tightens. • Energy product demand declined while inventories rose. Natural gas prices increased 26.3% (21.8% y/y) to $2.74/mmbtu in the week ended October 23 after a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 26 2020
U.S. New Home Sales Ease in September as Prices Rise
• New single-family home sales slipped but remain sharply higher y/y. • Sales declined modestly throughout most of the country. The market for new single-family homes has cooled recently. Sales declined 3.5% (+32.1% y/y) to 959,000 [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 26 2020
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Weakens Again in September
• Index suggests slower economic growth. • Component performance is mixed. Forward economic momentum diminished last month. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's National Activity Index declined during September to 0.27 from 1.11 in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 23 2020
FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Edge Higher
• Increases are scattered. • Crude oil costs continue to rise. The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) improved 0.2% during the last four weeks. The limited [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 22 2020
Kansas City Fed's Factory Index Recovers in October
• Expectations resume upward trend. • Pricing power deteriorated. The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index rose to 13 in October after falling to 11 in September from 14 in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 22 2020
U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Continue to Strengthen in September
• Existing home sales rise to highest level since May 2006. • Supply of unsold homes reaches record low, lifting prices. • Sales strengthened across the country. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 21 2020
U.S. Mortgage Applications Slip While Interest Rates Rise
• Purchase applications continue to decline. • Mortgage interest rates rise slightly. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index eased 0.6% (+54.3% y/y) in the week ended October 16, about the same as during the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 21 2020
U.S. Mortgage Applications Slip While Interest Rates Rise
• Purchase applications continue to decline. • Mortgage interest rates rise slightly. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index eased 0.6% (+54.3% y/y) in the week ended October 16, about the same as during the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 20 2020
U.S. Housing Starts Rebound in September
• Single-family home building increases to highest level since June 2007. • Permits to build single-family units jump, while multi-family permits drop. Housing starts rose 1.9% (11.1% y/y) in September to 1.415 million units (SAAR) [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 20 2020
U.S. Energy Product Prices Are Mixed
• Natural gas prices jump. • Crude oil prices rise for the second straight week. • Gasoline prices decline. Natural gas prices increased 13.6% (-3.6% y/y) to $2.17/mmbtu in the week ended October 16 after a 15.8% rise to $1.91/mmbtu [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- of1081Go to 151 page