Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 10 2020

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Holds Steady During October

  • Stability in NFIB Small Business Optimism follows strong gains. • Employment readings ease. • Pricing gauges strengthen. The National Federation of Independent Business' (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index held steady at 104.0 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 09 2020

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Remain Strong

  • Metals and textile prices improve. • Crude oil costs ease. The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) increased 1.7% (3.5% y/y) during the last four weeks. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 06 2020

  U.S. Consumer Credit Unexpectedly Surges in September

  • Nonrevolving borrowing jumps. • Credit card balances resume their increase. Consumer credit outstanding increased $16.2 billion (0.4% y/y) during September following a $6.9 billion August decline, revised from $7.2 billion. A $7.7 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 06 2020

  U.S. Payroll Growth Slows, But Unemployment Rate Falls Sharply

  • Private sector hiring picks up. • Earnings growth remains subdued. • Jobless rate declines to seven-month low. Nonfarm payroll employment increased 638,000 during October (-6.0% y/y) after rising 672,000 in September, revised from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 06 2020

  U.S. Payroll Growth Slows, But Unemployment Rate Falls Sharply

  • Private sector hiring picks up. • Earnings growth remains subdued. • Jobless rate declines to seven-month low. Nonfarm payroll employment increased 638,000 during October (-6.0% y/y) after rising 672,000 in September, revised from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 05 2020

  FOMC Holds Fed Funds Rate Near Zero, Citing COVID-19 Hardships

  The Federal Reserve left the target for the Fed funds rate in a range of 0.00% to 0.25% at today's meeting of the FOMC. The Fed indicated that it is "committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 05 2020

  U.S. Productivity Strength During Q3'20 Drives Unit Labor Costs Lower

  • Growth in output per hour remained firm for second straight quarter. • Unit labor costs decline, reversing Q2 rise. Nonfarm business sector productivity increased 4.9% (SAAR) during Q3'20 following a 10.6% Q2 increase, revised from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 04 2020

  U.S. ISM Services Eases During October

  • Service sector activity slipped m/m, but remains firm. • Component activity is mixed. • Strength in pricing power resumes. The Composite Index of Services Activity from the Institute for Supply Management fell to 56.6 during October [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 04 2020

  U.S. ADP Nonfarm Private Payroll Increase Weakens in October

  • Slowdown is broad-based across company size. • Employment increase is well below expectations. The ADP National Employment Report indicated that nonfarm private sector payrolls increased 365,000 (-7.3% y/y) during October following [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 03 2020

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Ease During October

  • Sales slip from seven-month high in September. • Light truck sales ease as car sales improve. Vehicle buyers pared back spending last month. The Autodata Corporation reported that sales of light vehicles eased 0.6% during October [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 03 2020

  U.S. Factory Orders Surge; Shipments Improve

  • Factory orders rise for fifth straight month. • Shipments gain steadily. • Order backlogs slip while inventories hold steady, again. Activity in the factory sector continues to recover. Manufacturers' orders strengthened 1.1% during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 02 2020

  ISM Manufacturing Index Surges During October

  • Factory sector activity strengthens to firmest level in two years. • Component performance is uniformly improved. • Price index continues to increase. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its Composite Index of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief