Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 18 2020

  U.S. Housing Starts Improve Again During October

  • Single-family home building increases to highest level since April 2007. • Building permits hold steady. Housing starts rose 4.9% (14.2% y/y) in October to 1.530 million (SAAR) from 1.459 million in September, revised from 1.415 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2020

  U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed

  • Crude oil prices increase. • Natural gas prices edge lower. • Gasoline prices are little changed. The price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil increased to an average of $40.79 per barrel (-28.4% y/y) in the week [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2020

  U.S. Business Inventories & Sales Firm During September

  • Business inventory accumulation strengthens. • Sales growth also remains firm. • Inventory-to-sales ratio remains at six-year low. Total business inventories rose 0.7% (-4.7% y/y) during September following an unrevised 0.3% August [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2020

  U.S. Retail Sales Gain Disappoints in October

  • Consumers barely lift spending following five months of strong increases. • Spending slowdown widens. As the number of coronavirus cases increased, total retail sales including food service & drinking establishments improved just [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2020

  Empire State Manufacturing Expansion Slows in November

  • Component declines are broad-based. • Pricing power improves. The Empire State General Business Conditions Index edged lower to 6.3 this month after easing to 10.5 in October. Nevertheless, it was the fifth consecutive positive [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 13 2020

  U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens in October

  • Revenues decline and outlays surge. The U.S. Treasury Department reported that the federal budget deficit increased to $284.1 billion during October compared to $134.5 billion twelve months earlier. The Action Economics Survey [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 13 2020

  U.S. Housing Affordability Improves in September as Interest Rates Decline

  • Lower mortgage interest rates combine with higher income combine to raise affordability. • Housing affordability improvement follows four straight monthly declines. The National Association of Realtors reported that its Fixed Rate [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 13 2020

  U.S. Producer Price Index Increases; Core Prices Hold Steady in October

  • Food & energy prices strengthen. • Core goods prices remain stable. • Service price increase moderates. The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.3% (0.5% y/y) during October following a 0.4% September increase. A 0.2% rise [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 12 2020

  U.S. Consumer Price Index & Core Prices Hold Steady During October

  • Retail price inflation decelerates y/y. • Goods prices firm y/y, while price gains in services moderate. Consumer prices continue to be well-behaved. The Consumer Price Index held steady (1.2% y/y) during October following a 0.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 11 2020

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Ease as Purchase Applications Decline Again

  • Home purchase applications fall sharply for second straight week. • Financing rates plumb new lows. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index eased 0.5% (+46.7% y/y) in the week ended November 6 after [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 11 2020

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Ease as Purchase Applications Decline Again

  • Home purchase applications fall sharply for second straight week. • Financing rates plumb new lows. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index eased 0.5% (+46.7% y/y) in the week ended November 6 after [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2020

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Opportunities Rate Holds Steady but Hiring Slips

  • The number of job openings improves slightly. • Layoffs decline but quits rise. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that on the last business day of September, the total job openings rate held steady at 4.3%. August's figure was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief