Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 30 2020

  Texas Factory Sector Outlook Index Declines in November

  • General business index slipped. • Production cratered but employment improved. • Expectations index eased. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported that its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey General Business Activity Index fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 30 2020

  Chicago Business Barometer Weakens During November

  • Business activity index falls to three-month low. • Production, orders and inventories decline. • Pricing power strengthens. The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer eased to 58.2 during November from October's 61.1. It [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2020

  U.S. Personal Income Declines While Spending Growth Moderates During October

  • Decline in income reflects fewer government transfer payments. • Spending strength reflects higher services outlays. • Prices remain steady. Personal income declined 0.7% during October (+5.5% y/y) following a 0.7% September rise, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2020

  U.S. Goods Trade Deficit Deepens During October

  • Export growth eases while import gain accelerates. The advance estimate of the U.S. trade deficit in goods deepened to $80.29 billion during October from September's $79.36 billion, revised from $80.7 billion. The Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 24 2020

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Falls Sharply in November, Disappointing Expectations

  • Confidence declines significantly, both m/m and y/y. • View of present conditions eases, but expectations collapse. • Older individuals grow more pessimistic. The Conference Board's consumer confidence survey indicated widespread [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 24 2020

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Posts Another Record Increase

  • Home price gain sets record for second straight month. • Prices strengthen across the country. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index jumped 1.7% during September following an unrevised 1.5% August increase. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 23 2020

  Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves During October

  • Index suggests a pickup in economic growth. • Component performance remains mixed. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's National Activity Index rebounded to 0.83 during October after easing to 0.32 in September, revised from 0.27. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 20 2020

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Show Widespread Strength

  • Crude oil & metals prices lead the improvement. The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) increased 3.1% (7.7% y/y) during the last four weeks and 19.4% over [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 19 2020

  E-Commerce Sales Slip in Q3'20

  The U.S. Commerce Department reported that during the third quarter of this year, retail sales via the internet (E-Commerce) eased 1.0% (SA) from +31.9% in Q2'20 as coronavirus lockdowns unfolded. Online sales in Q3, nonetheless, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 19 2020

  U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Strengthen During October

  • Existing home sales reach highest level since February 2006. • Sales' strength is broad-based across regions. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of existing homes increased 4.3% (26.6% y/y) in October to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 19 2020

  Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Slips During November

  • Headline index reverses some of October's improvement. • Component declines are broad-based. • Expectations weaken. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 18 2020

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Slip Overall, But Purchase Applications Rebound

  • Home purchase applications rise following two weeks of decline. • Refinancing applications weaken. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index eased 0.3% (+68.6% y/y) in the week ended November 13, about as it [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief