Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 15 2004

  Industrial Production Up Slightly, Factory Output Firm

  Industrial production rose just 0.1% following an upwardly revised 0.6% gain in July. Market forecasters had looked for a 0.5% increase but the disappointment was that utility output fell 2.4% and mining output fell 1.1%. Production [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 15 2004

  Industrial Production Up Slightly, Factory Output Firm

  Industrial production rose just 0.1% following an upwardly revised 0.6% gain in July. Market forecasters had looked for a 0.5% increase but the disappointment was that utility output fell 2.4% and mining output fell 1.1%. Production [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2004

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Another Record

  The US current account deficit deepened sharply to$166.2B in 2Q04, a new record. Consensus expectations had been for a 2Q deficit of $159.0B. The deficit in goods trade deteriorated to $163.6B from $135.5B a year ago, driven by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2004

  Home Prices Firm

  Home prices as tallied by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) rose 2.2% (9.1% AR) in 2Q 2004 versus an upwardly revised 1Q gain of 1.5%. The OFHEO house price index is a geometric weighted average based on more [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2004

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Ticked Higher

  Chain store sales again ticked slightly higher last week, up 0.2% w/w according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. So far in September sales are 0.1% below the August average which was unchanged from July. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2004

  Small Business Optimism Fell in August

  The Small Business Optimism Index published by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) fell 2.8% in August. The decline reversed all of the improvement in July and dropped the index to the lowest level since March. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2004

  Manpower Index of US Hiring Intentions Remained Firm

  The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey continued to indicate improved hiring intentions in the US for 4Q04. A seasonally adjusted net 20% of 16,000 employers expect to increase hiring activity and that held the improved level of the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2004

  U.S. Retail Spending Lackluster

  Retail sales fell 0.3% last month, about as expected, following a 0.8% gain in July that was little revised. Excluding motor vehicles & parts dealers sales rose 0.2% after a little revised 0.3% gain in July. Consensus expectations had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2004

  U.S. Retail Spending Lackluster

  Retail sales fell 0.3% last month, about as expected, following a 0.8% gain in July that was little revised. Excluding motor vehicles & parts dealers sales rose 0.2% after a little revised 0.3% gain in July. Consensus expectations had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2004

  OECD Leaders Broadly Stalled

  The Index of Leading Indicators for the Major Seven OECD Countries fell slightly in July and continued the lackluster performance of the last five months. Since February the leading index is about unchanged and the index's six-month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 13 2004

  OECD Leaders Broadly Stalled

  The Index of Leading Indicators for the Major Seven OECD Countries fell slightly in July and continued the lackluster performance of the last five months. Since February the leading index is about unchanged and the index's six-month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 10 2004

  U.S. Trade Deficit Still Near The Record in July

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit fell in July but remained at the second highest level on record at $50.1B. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of $51.5B. Exports rebounded 3.0% following the 3.9% slump in June that was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief