Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 01 2004

  U.S. Personal Income Gain Light

  Personal income grew just 0.2% In September following a downwardly revised 0.1% rise in August. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.3% September increase. A third consecutive monthly decline in proprietors' income, down 0.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 01 2004

  U.S. Personal Income Gain Light

  Personal income grew just 0.2% In September following a downwardly revised 0.1% rise in August. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.3% September increase. A third consecutive monthly decline in proprietors' income, down 0.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 29 2004

  Chicago Purchasing Agents' Index Highest Since 1988

  The October Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer jumped 6.6 points from September to 68.5, just nosed out the prior high and was at the highest level since July 1988. Consensus expectations had been for a slight decline to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 29 2004

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Recovered After Early October Slump

  The reading of consumer sentiment for the full month of October from the University of Michigan did fall 2.7% m/m to 91.7, but that reflected a sharp improvement from the mid-month read of a 7.1% plunge to 87.5. Consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 29 2004

  3Q'04 Employment Cost Index Up 0.9%

  The employment cost index for private industry workers rose 0.9% last quarter, in line with Consensus expectations for a 1.0% gain. Wages and salaries, which account for roughly 70% of the compensation index, accelerated from 2Q and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 29 2004

  3Q US GDP Light at 3.7%

  US real GDP grew 3.7% (AR) last quarter versus the Consensus expectation for growth of 4.5%. Nevertheless, 3Q growth was a slight acceleration from 3.3% in 2Q. The shortfall in GDP growth relative to expectations reflected meager [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 29 2004

  3Q US GDP Light at 3.7%

  US real GDP grew 3.7% (AR) last quarter versus the Consensus expectation for growth of 4.5%. Nevertheless, 3Q growth was a slight acceleration from 3.3% in 2Q. The shortfall in GDP growth relative to expectations reflected meager [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 28 2004

  New Home Sales Higher Again

  Sales of new single-family homes rose 3.5% in September to 1.206M, the highest level since May. Consensus estimates had been for sales of 1.150M. Sales rose in each of the country's regions except the West where a 0.8% (+9.1% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 28 2004

  Help-Wanted Advertising Down Again

  The National Index of Help-Wanted Advertising published by the Conference Board fell to 36 in September, the lowest level since May of last year. The proportion of labor markets with rising want-ad volume plunged to 25%, half the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 28 2004

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Rose

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance last week recouped most of the prior period's decline with a 20,000 rise to 350,000 following a 25,000 decline that was little revised. The Consensus expectation had been for 340,000 claims. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 28 2004

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Rose

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance last week recouped most of the prior period's decline with a 20,000 rise to 350,000 following a 25,000 decline that was little revised. The Consensus expectation had been for 340,000 claims. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 26 2004

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Down Again

  Chain store sales fell another 0.6% last week and added to the 0.2% slip the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. The decline dropped sales so far in October 0.2% below the September [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief