Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 10 2004

  PPI Boosted by Energy & Food, Core As Expected

  In November, the PPI for finished goods rose 0.5% and again outpaced the Consensus forecast for a 0.2% gain. Less food & energy, a 0.2% rise in "core" prices was as expected. Finished energy prices added 1.8% (19.9% y/y) to the 6.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2004

  PPI Boosted by Energy & Food, Core As Expected

  In November, the PPI for finished goods rose 0.5% and again outpaced the Consensus forecast for a 0.2% gain. Less food & energy, a 0.2% rise in "core" prices was as expected. Finished energy prices added 1.8% (19.9% y/y) to the 6.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2004

  Households' Net Worth Improved Further

  The net worth of the US household sector rose 10.2% last quarter versus 3Q03. The year to year rate of increase is slower than the 14.4% gain in 1Q04. The rise was driven by a 10.0% y/y rise in total asset values. Tangible asset [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2004

  Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rose Again

  Initial unemployment insurance claims unexpectedly rose another 8,000 to 357,000 on top of the 25,000 increase during Thanksgiving week. A decline to 335,000 had been the Consensus expectation. Not seasonally adjusted, claims surged [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2004

  Import Prices Firmer Than Expected in November

  Import prices increased 0.2% last month versus the Consensus expectation for no change, the gain held back by a 2.6% decline in petroleum prices. Yesterday's price for Brent crude oil of $37.52/bbl. versus the November average of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2004

  Households' Net Worth Improved Further

  The net worth of the US household sector rose 10.2% last quarter versus 3Q03. The year to year rate of increase is slower than the 14.4% gain in 1Q04. The rise was driven by a 10.0% y/y rise in total asset values. Tangible asset [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2004

  Mortgage Applications Bounce Up

  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Survey, mortgage applications rose 3.4% last week following declines during November that, by the end of the month, had pulled the total market index down 11.6%. Purchase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2004

  JOLTS: Job Openings & Hires Up in the US

  The Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that through October, the job openings rate rose to 2.5% in October versus a monthly low of 2.0% in August 2003. The job openings rate is [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2004

  JOLTS: Job Openings & Hires Up in the US

  The Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that through October, the job openings rate rose to 2.5% in October versus a monthly low of 2.0% in August 2003. The job openings rate is [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2004

  Challenger Layoff Count Rose Further

  Job cut announcements reported in November rose 2.6% from October and 5.1% from a year ago according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas. The monthly tally of 104,530 pulled the three month moving average of job cut announcements to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2004

  Chain Store Sales Slumped Further

  Chain store sales following Thanksgiving week slumped another 1.7% on top of the 1.5% skid during the Holiday period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. The decline pulled November sales just 0.1% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2004

  U.S. Productivity Growth Little Revised for 3Q

  Non-farm labor productivity growth last quarter was little revised at 1.8% and about matched Consensus expectations for 2.0% growth. Growth in hours worked by all persons (employment times hours) was revised up to 2.4% (1.5% y/y) from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief