Germany's industrial production is lower across all sectors in April. It is also falling across all sectors over three months, over six months and over 12 months. Headline as well as manufacturing IP for Germany shows that IP is [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Jun 07 2019A German IP Report That Will Send Chills Up Your Spine
- Global| Jun 06 2019
German Orders Rise for Second Month in a Row But Remain Weak
Germany's real new orders rose by 0.3% in April, marking the second monthly rise in a row as orders rose by 0.8% in March. Orders last rose two months in a row in September-October of 2018. A rebound- but still weak While this news is [...]
- Global| Jun 05 2019
EMU PMIs Remain Weak; Heck…Nearly Everything Remains Weak!
The EMU shows both manufacturing and services weakening more or less progressively. Over three months there is minor improvement in the services PMI compared to six months, but the PMI rankings in the EMU place the headline PMI as [...]
- Global| Jun 04 2019
EMU HICP Gets Even Weaker As Unemployment Rate Hits New Cycle Low!
The chart may remind you, as it does me, of the groundhog that looks out and sees his shadow retreating to his burrow for another few weeks of winter weather. Is inflation making another major retreat? Waiting for inflation to [...]
Asian PMIs continue to weaken in May. The average Asia PMI reading weakened and the split between those getting weaker and those getting stronger month-to-month was divided at 50% again in May, just as it was in April. Weakness is [...]
- Global| May 31 2019
China's PMI Erodes; The Trade War Escalates
Globally PMIs are losing momentum. China had been seeing industrial decay early this year then it kicked out of that erosion with a jump in March. But that gain did not hold; the Chinese PMI was slipping again in May and dipping below [...]
- Global| May 30 2019
Japan's Trade Trends Show Some Life But It Is Temporary
Japan's trade deficit stays in place for the second month in a row although the deficit shrinks to 111 billion yen in April from 154 billion yen in March. Japan's average deficit measured over 12 months, six months and three months [...]
Since 2013, Italian inflation has consistently been lower than German inflation The table and chart chronicle some interesting circumstances for Italy. The chart shows that (as they say) ‘believe it or not!' Italian inflation has [...]
- Global| May 28 2019
EU Commission Readings Show Signs of Life!
The EU Commission index rose to 105.1 in May, a rise that brings it up still short of its March reading; this is its first increase after 15 straight months of declines. There were improvements in the readings for each of the largest [...]
- Global| May 23 2019
EMU PMI Ticks Higher As Manufacturing Continues to Contract
The EMU PMI remains weak in May at 51.6, but it is a few ticks higher than its value in April. Its May value is just a tick below its three-month average, at its six-month average and below its 12-month average which does not speak [...]
- Global| May 22 2019
U.K. Inflation Kicks Up
The Bank of England makes monetary policy off the CPIH, which is the CPI measure inclusive of a measure of housing costs. This measure puts the U.K. on the same footing as the U.S. with its inflation measures and is unlike the EMU [...]
- Global| May 21 2019
U.K. CBI Metrics Go South
The CBI orders fell sharply in May and were last weaker in October 2016. That observation is an outlier. But from October 2015 through April 2016, orders were persistently weaker than their current reading. Export orders fell more [...]
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