Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Apr 14 2020

U.S. Small Businesses Become Pessimistic

Summary

• • The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) indicated that its Small Business Optimism Index plummeted 7.8% (-5.3% y/y) to 96.4 during March........... The NFIB figures can be found in Haver's SURVEYS database. National [...]


The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) indicated that its Small Business Optimism Index plummeted 7.8% (-5.3% y/y) to 96.4 during March...........

The NFIB figures can be found in Haver's SURVEYS database.

National Federation of Independent Business (SA, Net % of Firms) Apr Mar Feb Apr'19 2019 2018 2017
Small Business Optimism Index (1986=100) 96.4 104.5 104.3 101.8 103.0 106.7 104.9
Firms Expecting Economy to Improve 5 22 14 11 13 32 39
Firms Expecting Higher Real Sales -12 19 23 19 18 26 23
Firms Reporting Now Is a Good Time to Expand the Business 13 26 28 23 25 30 23
Firms Planning to Increase Employment 9 21 19 18 19 21 18
Firms With Few or No Qualified Applicants for Job Openings (%) 47 52 49 54 52 51 49
Firms Expecting to Make Capital Outlays 21 26 28 27 28 29 28
Firms Reporting That Credit Was Harder to Get 3 1 4 6 4 4 4
Firms Raising Average Selling Prices 6 11 15 12 13 15 7
Firms Raising Worker Compensation 31 36 36 33 31 33 27
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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