Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Apr 26 2012

U.S. Pending Home Sales Jump

Summary

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending sales of single-family homes during March jumped 4.1% (12.8% y/y) following an upwardly revised 0.4% February uptick. The index level of 101.4 (2001=100) was the highest [...]


The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending sales of single-family homes during March jumped 4.1% (12.8% y/y) following an upwardly revised 0.4% February uptick. The index level of 101.4 (2001=100) was the highest since April of 2010 when the first-time homebuyers tax credit was fueling sales.

Sales improvement centered on an 8.7% rise (9.0% y/y) in the West. It followed three months of decline. That increase was accompanied by a 5.9% gain (10.6% y/y) in the South. Sales in the Northeast slipped 0.8% (+21.1% y/y) while sales in the Midwest eased 0.9% (+16.9% y/y).

Pending home sales figures are analogous to the new home sales data from the Commerce Department in that they measure existing home sales when the sales contract is signed, not at the time the sale is closed. The series dates back to 2001 and the data are available in Haver's PREALTOR database.

Pending Home Sales (2001=100) Mar Feb Jan Y/Y % 2011 2010 2009
Total 101.4 97.4 97.0 12.8 90.3 89.2 94.7
Northeast 78.2 78.8 78.2 21.1 68.0 70.9 76.8
Midwest 93.3 94.1 88.1 16.9 81.6 79.9 88.9
South 114.1 107.7 109.1 10.6 98.3 97.0 98.4
West 108.0 99.4 101.9 9.0 104.2 100.8 109.2
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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