Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Sep 05 2014

U.S. Payrolls Post Disappointing Increase; Jobless Rate Ticks Lower

Summary

Nonfarm payrolls gained 142,000 (1.8% y/y) during August following increases of 212,000 and 267,000 during the prior two months. The rise was the weakest since December and disappointed expectations for a 220,000 increase in the [...]


Nonfarm payrolls gained 142,000 (1.8% y/y) during August following increases of 212,000 and 267,000 during the prior two months. The rise was the weakest since December and disappointed expectations for a 220,000 increase in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The unemployment rate matched expectations and dipped to 6.1%, its lowest level since September 2008. The overall unemployment rate, including marginally attached workers and those employed part-time for economic reasons, fell to 12.0%.

The figures referenced above are available in Haver's USECON database. Additional detail can be found in the LABOR and in the EMPL databases. The expectation figures are from Action Economics and are in the AS1REPNA database.

Employment: (M/M Chg., 000s) Aug Jul Jun Y/Y 2013 2012 2011
Payroll Employment 142 212 267 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2%
 Previous -- 209 298 -- -- -- --
 Manufacturing 0 28 21 1.4 0.7 1.7 1.7
 Construction 20 31 8 4.0 3.3 2.1 0.2
 Private Service Producing 112 146 226 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.9
 Government 8 -1 7 0.2 -0.3 -0.8 -1.8
Average Weekly Hours - Private Sector 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5
(Aug'13)
34.5 34.4 34.3
Average Private Sector Hourly Earnings (%) 0.2 0.1 0.3 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.0
Unemployment Rate (%) 6.1 6.2 6.1 7.2
(Aug'13)
7.4 8.1 8.9
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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