Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Feb 27 2018

U.S. FHFA House Price Index Increases

Summary

The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices rose 6.5% y/y during December. The rate of increase has improved from 5.3% in 2014 and contrasts to the house price deflation from 2008 to 2011. In the month of [...]


The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices rose 6.5% y/y during December. The rate of increase has improved from 5.3% in 2014 and contrasts to the house price deflation from 2008 to 2011. In the month of December alone, house prices rose 0.3% m/m, the smallest increase in six months. Over the past three months, prices have risen at a reduced 5.6% annual rate.

The annual performance of home prices continued to vary significantly across the country. On the strong side were the Mountain and Pacific regions where prices rose roughly 9.0% from December-to-December.

These relatively strong y/y gains were followed by the South Atlantic, West South Central, New England and East North Central regions where prices increased roughly 6.0% y/y.

Slower annual house price appreciation occurred in the Middle Atlantic, East South Central and West North Central regions.

The FHFA house price index is a weighted purchase-only index that measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. An associated quarterly index also includes refinancings on the same kinds of properties. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.

FHFA U.S. House Price Index,
Purchase Only (SA %)
Dec Nov Oct Dec Y/Y 2017 2016 2015
Total 0.3 0.5 0.6 6.5 6.7 6.2 5.5
  Mountain 0.6 0.8 0.9 9.0 8.7 8.0 7.7
  Pacific 0.4 0.7 0.1 8.6 8.8 8.1 7.8
  South Atlantic 0.8 0.7 0.3 6.7 7.0 7.1 6.3
  West South Central -0.0 0.6 0.5 6.6 6.5 6.0 6.2
  New England 0.8 0.0 0.8 6.2 5.9 4.1 3.4
  East North Central 0.2 0.4 0.6 5.7 6.1 5.4 4.4
  Middle Atlantic -0.1 0.1 1.0 5.1 4.9 3.7 2.6
  East South Central 0.1 -0.8 2.4 4.8 6.0 5.1 4.7
  West North Central -0.7 1.1 0.2 4.6 5.5 5.7 4.1

 

Mountain: Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico.
South Atlantic: Delaware, Maryland, D.C., Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and Florida.
Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington.
West South Central: Oklahoma, Arkansas, Texas and Louisiana.
East North Central: Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana and Ohio.
East South Central: Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama.
New England: Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut.
Middle Atlantic: New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.
West North Central: North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas and Missouri.

  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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