Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jun 27 2006

U.S. Existing Home Sales Decline As Expected

Summary

Total existing home sales fell 1.2% during May to 6.670M following a little revised 2.2% decline during April. Consensus expectations had been for sales of 6.62M and the figures were reported by the National Association of Realtors. [...]


Total existing home sales fell 1.2% during May to 6.670M following a little revised 2.2% decline during April. Consensus expectations had been for sales of 6.62M and the figures were reported by the National Association of Realtors. Sales of single-family homes fell 1.5%, down for the fourth month this year. The data cover sales closed in the latest and previous months and contrast to the new home sales (up in May) data which count sales at the signing of a contract. In May sales of existing single family homes were down 8.1% versus the peak last June and for the first five months of this year were off 4.0% from the 2005 average. Sales were weakest last month in the Northeast which posted a 4.8% drop (-5.9% y/y) and in the Midwest where they fell 4.3% (-5.6% y/y). In the South (-2.8% y/y) and in the West (-14.1% y/y), May sales were unchanged from the prior month. The median price of an existing single-family home rose 3.2% (6.4% y/y). The price figures are not seasonally adjusted. The inventory of unsold existing homes rose 5.5% and was up 41.0% from one year earlier. The supply of unsold single family homes was up 36.3% y/y and the supply of condos & coops for sale was up 73.0%.

The latest release from the National Association of Realtors is available here.

Existing Home Sales (000, AR) May April Y/Y 2005 2004 2003
Total Home Sales  6,670 6,750 -6.6% 7,064 6,722 6,176
  Single Family Home Sales 5,820 5,910 -6.6% 6,170 5,912 5,443
Single Family Median Home Price (000) $229.7 $222.6 6.4% $206.3 $182.8 $169.1
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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