Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Dec 08 2020

U.S. Energy Prices Firm

Summary

• Gasoline prices reach eight-week high. • Crude oil costs strengthen to highest level since March. • Natural gas prices are trending higher. The price of regular gasoline increased four cents last week to $2.16 per gallon (-15.8% [...]


• Gasoline prices reach eight-week high.

• Crude oil costs strengthen to highest level since March.

• Natural gas prices are trending higher.

The price of regular gasoline increased four cents last week to $2.16 per gallon (-15.8% y/y), adding to the prior week's two cent increase to $2.12. It was the highest level since the third week of October. Haver Analytics adjusts the gasoline price series for normal seasonal variation. The seasonally adjusted price rose six cents to $2.28 per gallon last week, its highest level since the third week of March.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices increased to an average of $45.38 per barrel (-21.3% y/y) in the week ended December 4 from $44.44 per barrel in the previous week. This was the highest price since early-March. The price was $45.76 yesterday. The average price of Brent crude oil rose to $48.28 per barrel (-22.3% y/y) last week from $47.10 per barrel in the previous week. It increased to $48.71 yesterday.

The price of natural gas improved to $2.69/mmbtu (13.5% y/y) in the week ended December 4 from $2.39/mmbtu in the previous week. Prices have been moving up from $1.52/mmbtu since the third week of June. The price fell to $2.39 yesterday.

In the four weeks ended November 27, gasoline demand declined 9.9% y/y. Total petroleum product demand fell 9.0% y/y. Crude oil input to refineries was down 15.1% y/y over the past four weeks. Gasoline inventories increased 1.9% y/y and inventories of all petroleum products rose 5.2% y/y. The supply of gasoline in inventory recently has risen to 28.2 days, up from 26.1 days early in October.

These data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy. The price data can be found in Haver's WEEKLY and DAILY databases. Greater detail on prices, as well as the demand, production and inventory data, along with regional breakdowns, are in OILWKLY.

Weekly Energy Prices 12/07/20 11/30/20 11/23/20 Y/Y % 2019 2018 2017
Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular, Monday) 2.16 2.12 2.10 -15.8 2.57 2.27 2.47
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl, Previous Week's Average) 45.38 44.44 41.59 -21.3 56.91 64.95 50.87
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, Previous Week's Average) 2.69 2.39 2.39 13.5 2.57 3.18 2.99
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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